UC Santa Cruz at Mary Washington Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Mary Washington by 15.74
TOTAL POINTS
146
UPDATED
Tuesday, October 27, 2026
See this week's CBB D3 predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
UC Santa Cruz
Mary Washington 
|
91
A-
|
Overall |
99
A+
|
|
89
B+
|
Power |
99
A+
|
|
86
B
|
Offensive |
96
A
|
|
89
B+
|
Defensive |
98
A+
|
|
97
A+
|
SoS (Current) |
90
A-
|
|
97
A+
|
SoS (Full Season) |
90
A-
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
UC Santa Cruz
Mary Washington
| 88 #636 overall |
Overall | 1 #159 overall |
| 101 #759 overall |
Power | 5 #561 overall |
| 140 #790 overall |
Offensive | 31 #620 overall |
| 102 #734 overall |
Defensive | 9 #500 overall |
| 23 #627 overall |
SoS (Current) | 100 #741 overall |
| 23 #620 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 100 #740 overall |
Mary Washington#185%UC Santa Cruz#8815%Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Mary Washington 85%, UC Santa Cruz 15% at Mary Washington.
Mary Washington's win probability against UC Santa Cruz is trending down — from 79% to 74% over the last 6 updates.
Mary Washington's win probability against UC Santa Cruz is trending down — from 84% to 80% over the last 6 updates.
Mary Washington's win probability against UC Santa Cruz is trending down — from 89% to 85% over the last 6 updates.
Mary Washington favored
UC Santa Cruz favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At UC Santa Cruz | Neutral | At Mary Washington |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 77% | 82% | 87% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 78% | 83% | 88% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 79% | 84% | 89% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 79% | 84% | 89% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 80% | 85% | 89% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 81% | 85% | 89% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 81% | 86% | 90% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 81% | 86% | 90% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 74% | 80% | 85% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
UC Santa Cruz
Mary Washington
|
0-2 (0%) |
Head to Head |
2-0 (100%) |
|
10-12 (45.5%) |
Overall |
31-3 (91.2%) |
|
1-3 (25%) |
Home |
16-0 (100%) |
|
7-8 (46.7%) |
Away |
6-2 (75%) |
|
0-8 (0%) |
Versus D3 Top 25 |
8-3 (72.7%) |
|
3-11 (21.4%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
19-3 (86.4%) |
|
7-1 (87.5%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
12-0 (100%) |
|
5-5 (50%) |
Last 10 Games |
10-0 (100%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
UC Santa Cruz
Mary Washington
| #667 Puget Sound | Best Win | #114 Emory |
| #678 Whittier | Worst Loss | #175 Randolph-Macon |
| 30 pts vs #1006 George Fox | Largest MOV | 47 pts vs #888 Mary Baldwin |
| 45 pts vs #137 San Francisco | Largest MOD | 11 pts vs #175 Randolph-Macon |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
UC Santa Cruz
Mary Washington
| 73.3 | Points per Game | 79.5 |
| 77.3 | Points Against | 65.1 |
| 75.3 | Home PPG | 83.5 |
| 82.5 | Home PA | 65.9 |
| 71.2 | Away PPG | 79.6 |
| 76.5 | Away PA | 69.4 |
| 357-245 | Opponent Record | 577-369 |
| 512.7 | Avg Opponent Rank | 521.9 |
| W 4 | Longest Streak | W 13 |
| L 3 | Current Streak | W 13 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
UC Santa Cruz
Mary Washington
| Feb 27 | vs Chris Newport (25-6) | L74-77 | Apr 5 | Emory (27-4) | W75-73 |
| Feb 24 | vs Mary Washington (31-3) | L52-76 | Mar 21 | Trinity CT (30-3) | W64-61 |
| Feb 1 | at Mary Washington (31-3) | L63-93 | Mar 19 | Chicago (24-5) | W81-73 |
| Jan 30 | Regent (4-18) | W78-67 | Mar 14 | vs WI LaCrosse (24-8) | W73-68 |
| Jan 29 | at Chris Newport (25-6) | L64-71 | Mar 13 | vs WI LaCrosse (24-8) | W73-68 |
| Jan 10 | at Pomona-Pitzer (9-15) | W66-62 | Mar 7 | vs Amherst (19-8) | W81-64 |
| Dec 28 | at Pac Lutheran (8-16) | W77-70 | Mar 6 | Worcester St (15-15) | W86-55 |
| Dec 27 | at Puget Sound (16-10) | W62-58 | Feb 28 | Chris Newport (25-6) | W88-58 |
| Dec 21 | at USC (18-14) | L63-102 | Feb 27 | Salisbury (11-15) | W55-46 |
| Dec 17 | at Pomona-Pitzer (9-15) | W67-58 | Feb 24 | at UC Santa Cruz (10-12) | W76-52 |