UC Santa Cruz at M Hardin-Baylor Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
M Hardin-Baylor by 7.41
TOTAL POINTS
161
UPDATED
Tuesday, October 27, 2026
See this week's CBB D3 predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
UC Santa Cruz
M Hardin-Baylor 
|
91
A-
|
Overall |
96
A
|
|
89
B+
|
Power |
95
A
|
|
86
B
|
Offensive |
98
A+
|
|
89
B+
|
Defensive |
77
C+
|
|
97
A+
|
SoS (Current) |
90
A-
|
|
97
A+
|
SoS (Full Season) |
90
A-
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
UC Santa Cruz
M Hardin-Baylor
| 88 #636 overall |
Overall | 33 #467 overall |
| 101 #759 overall |
Power | 40 #683 overall |
| 140 #790 overall |
Offensive | 12 #506 overall |
| 102 #734 overall |
Defensive | 227 #884 overall |
| 23 #627 overall |
SoS (Current) | 92 #732 overall |
| 23 #627 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 92 #732 overall |
M Hardin-Baylor#3371%UC Santa Cruz#8829%Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: M Hardin-Baylor 71%, UC Santa Cruz 29% at M Hardin-Baylor.
M Hardin-Baylor's win probability against UC Santa Cruz is trending down — from 57% to 54% over the last 6 updates.
M Hardin-Baylor's win probability against UC Santa Cruz has held at 63% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
M Hardin-Baylor's win probability against UC Santa Cruz has held at 71% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
M Hardin-Baylor favored
UC Santa Cruz favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At UC Santa Cruz | Neutral | At M Hardin-Baylor |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 58% | 67% | 74% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 58% | 66% | 74% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 57% | 65% | 73% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 57% | 65% | 73% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 57% | 66% | 74% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 57% | 66% | 74% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 58% | 66% | 74% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 58% | 66% | 74% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 54% | 63% | 71% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
UC Santa Cruz
M Hardin-Baylor
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
10-12 (45.5%) |
Overall |
18-8 (69.2%) |
|
1-3 (25%) |
Home |
6-2 (75%) |
|
7-8 (46.7%) |
Away |
7-6 (53.8%) |
|
0-8 (0%) |
Versus D3 Top 25 |
1-3 (25%) |
|
3-11 (21.4%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
9-8 (52.9%) |
|
7-1 (87.5%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
9-0 (100%) |
|
5-5 (50%) |
Last 10 Games |
8-2 (80%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
UC Santa Cruz
M Hardin-Baylor
| #667 Puget Sound | Best Win | #298 Redlands |
| #678 Whittier | Worst Loss | #664 Le Tourneau |
| 30 pts vs #1006 George Fox | Largest MOV | 37 pts vs #841 Belhaven MS |
| 45 pts vs #137 San Francisco | Largest MOD | 18 pts vs #273 Gust Adolphus |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
UC Santa Cruz
M Hardin-Baylor
| 73.3 | Points per Game | 86.9 |
| 77.3 | Points Against | 81.7 |
| 75.3 | Home PPG | 91.4 |
| 82.5 | Home PA | 83.3 |
| 71.2 | Away PPG | 85.6 |
| 76.5 | Away PA | 82.7 |
| 357-245 | Opponent Record | 424-281 |
| 512.7 | Avg Opponent Rank | 586.2 |
| W 4 | Longest Streak | W 4 |
| L 3 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
UC Santa Cruz
M Hardin-Baylor
| Feb 27 | vs Chris Newport (25-6) | L74-77 | Mar 7 | at Gust Adolphus (27-3) | L72-90 |
| Feb 24 | vs Mary Washington (31-3) | L52-76 | Mar 6 | WI Stevens Pt (19-8) | W84-76 |
| Feb 1 | at Mary Washington (31-3) | L63-93 | Feb 28 | at Hardin-Simmons (16-10) | W90-81 |
| Jan 30 | Regent (4-18) | W78-67 | Feb 27 | E Texas Bap (7-19) | W89-84 |
| Jan 29 | at Chris Newport (25-6) | L64-71 | Feb 21 | vs Howard Payne (10-15) | W98-91 |
| Jan 10 | at Pomona-Pitzer (9-15) | W66-62 | Feb 14 | at Hardin-Simmons (16-10) | L80-86 |
| Dec 28 | at Pac Lutheran (8-16) | W77-70 | Feb 10 | vs Hardin-Simmons (16-10) | W93-90 |
| Dec 27 | at Puget Sound (16-10) | W62-58 | Feb 7 | vs E Texas Bap (7-19) | W87-84 |
| Dec 21 | at USC (18-14) | L63-102 | Jan 31 | at Howard Payne (10-15) | W110-90 |
| Dec 17 | at Pomona-Pitzer (9-15) | W67-58 | Jan 28 | at E Texas Bap (7-19) | W71-62 |