Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Carlow
E Mennonite
|
63
D-
|
Overall |
77
C+
|
|
62
D-
|
Power |
75
C
|
|
65
D
6099
|
Offensive |
65
D
6099
|
|
Carlow
6099
E Mennonite
6099
|
||
|
65
D
6099
|
Defensive |
91
A-
6099
|
|
Carlow
6099
E Mennonite
6099
|
||
|
66
D
|
SoS (Current) |
90
A-
|
|
66
D
|
SoS (Future) |
90
A-
|
Carlow
E Mennonite
| 380 #1042 overall |
Overall | 226 #855 overall |
| 383 #1046 overall |
Power | 248 #910 overall |
| 359 #1021 overall |
Offensive | 358 #1020 overall |
| 357 #1019 overall |
Defensive | 87 #681 overall |
| 347 #1010 overall |
SoS (Current) | 90 #712 overall |
| 347 #1010 overall |
SoS (Future) | 90 #712 overall |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: E Mennonite 88%, Carlow 12% at a neutral site.
E Mennonite's win probability against Carlow has held at 83% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
E Mennonite's win probability against Carlow has held at 88% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
E Mennonite's win probability against Carlow has held at 92% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Carlow | Neutral | At E Mennonite |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 71% | 79% | 85% |
| Wk 1 | 81% | 86% | 91% |
| Wk 2 | 84% | 89% | 93% |
| Wk 3 | 83% | 88% | 92% |
| Wk 4 | 87% | 91% | 94% |
| Wk 5 | 90% | 93% | 95% |
| Wk 6 | 92% | 95% | 97% |
| Wk 7 | 91% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 13 | 85% | 90% | 93% |
| Wk 14 | 80% | 86% | 91% |
| Wk 15 | 82% | 87% | 92% |
| Wk 17 | 83% | 88% | 92% |
| Wk 18 | 83% | 88% | 92% |
| Wk 19 | 83% | 88% | 92% |
| Wk 20 | 83% | 88% | 92% |
| Wk 21 | 83% | 89% | 92% |
| Wk 22 | 84% | 89% | 92% |
| Wk 23 | 83% | 88% | 92% |
| Wk 24 | 83% | 88% | 92% |
Carlow
E Mennonite
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
4-19 (17.4%) |
Overall |
8-17 (32%) |
|
2-8 (20%) |
Home |
6-5 (54.5%) |
|
2-10 (16.7%) |
Away |
1-11 (8.3%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus D3 Top 25 |
0-3 (0%) |
|
0-11 (0%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
2-13 (13.3%) |
|
4-8 (33.3%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
6-4 (60%) |
|
3-7 (30%) |
Last 10 Games |
3-7 (30%) |
Carlow
E Mennonite
| #924 PSU-Altoona | Best Win | #554 Washington & Lee |
| #1049 Alfred St | Worst Loss | #982 St Mary's MD |
| 15 pts vs #924 PSU-Altoona | Largest MOV | 21 pts vs #918 Bridgewater VA |
| 29 pts vs #913 Grove City | Largest MOD | 49 pts vs #175 Randolph-Macon |
Carlow
E Mennonite
| 69.4 | Points per Game | 62 |
| 82.1 | Points Against | 70.5 |
| 70.3 | Home PPG | 62.4 |
| 81 | Home PA | 64.8 |
| 69.4 | Away PPG | 60.3 |
| 83.9 | Away PA | 76.1 |
| 279-325 | Opponent Record | 358-308 |
| 878 | Avg Opponent Rank | 658.1 |
| L 10 | Longest Streak | L 4 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Carlow
E Mennonite
| Feb 21 | vs Hilbert (16-11) | L76-90 | Feb 21 | at Averett (14-12) | L52-83 |
| Feb 18 | vs Mt Aloysius (2-21) | W77-75 | Feb 18 | vs Shenandoah (11-14) | W73-61 |
| Feb 14 | at Pitt-Greensburg (22-8) | L61-83 | Feb 14 | at Lynchburg (14-13) | L60-72 |
| Feb 7 | at Pitt-Bradford (15-9) | L71-96 | Feb 11 | vs Washington & Lee (17-10) | W62-60 |
| Feb 4 | at PSU-Altoona (12-14) | W94-79 | Feb 7 | vs Roanoke (22-7) | L57-73 |
| Jan 31 | vs Alfred St (5-22) | W70-62 | Feb 4 | vs Bridgewater VA (7-18) | W70-49 |
| Jan 28 | at La Roche (14-13) | L85-103 | Jan 31 | at Hampden-Sydney (17-10) | L38-86 |
| Jan 24 | at PSU-Behrend (20-8) | L50-70 | Jan 28 | at Randolph-Macon (27-4) | L46-95 |
| Jan 17 | vs Pitt-Bradford (15-9) | L83-85 | Jan 23 | vs VA Wesleyan (18-8) | L44-60 |
| Jan 14 | vs PSU-Altoona (12-14) | L79-82 | Jan 21 | at Shenandoah (11-14) | L61-65 |
vs
Division III College Basketball