UC Santa Cruz at Chapman Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Chapman by 4.5
TOTAL POINTS
143
UPDATED
Tuesday, October 27, 2026
See this week's CBB D3 predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
UC Santa Cruz
Chapman 
|
91
A-
|
Overall |
94
A
|
|
89
B+
|
Power |
92
A-
|
|
86
B
|
Offensive |
82
B-
|
|
89
B+
|
Defensive |
94
A
|
|
97
A+
|
SoS (Current) |
94
A
|
|
97
A+
|
SoS (Full Season) |
94
A
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
UC Santa Cruz
Chapman
| 88 #636 overall |
Overall | 48 #539 overall |
| 101 #759 overall |
Power | 77 #732 overall |
| 140 #790 overall |
Offensive | 175 #829 overall |
| 102 #734 overall |
Defensive | 50 #644 overall |
| 23 #627 overall |
SoS (Current) | 51 #680 overall |
| 23 #620 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 51 #677 overall |
Chapman#4862%UC Santa Cruz#8838%Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Chapman 62%, UC Santa Cruz 38% at Chapman.
Chapman's win probability against UC Santa Cruz has held at 46% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Chapman's win probability against UC Santa Cruz has held at 54% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Chapman's win probability against UC Santa Cruz has held at 62% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Chapman favored
UC Santa Cruz favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At UC Santa Cruz | Neutral | At Chapman |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 45% | 53% | 61% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 50% | 58% | 65% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 46% | 55% | 62% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 46% | 54% | 62% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 47% | 55% | 63% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 47% | 55% | 63% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 47% | 55% | 63% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 47% | 55% | 63% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 46% | 54% | 62% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
UC Santa Cruz
Chapman
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
10-12 (45.5%) |
Overall |
18-9 (66.7%) |
|
1-3 (25%) |
Home |
12-2 (85.7%) |
|
7-8 (46.7%) |
Away |
6-7 (46.2%) |
|
0-8 (0%) |
Versus D3 Top 25 |
3-3 (50%) |
|
3-11 (21.4%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
8-8 (50%) |
|
7-1 (87.5%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
10-1 (90.9%) |
|
5-5 (50%) |
Last 10 Games |
8-2 (80%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
UC Santa Cruz
Chapman
| #667 Puget Sound | Best Win | #298 Redlands |
| #678 Whittier | Worst Loss | #694 Cal Lutheran |
| 30 pts vs #1006 George Fox | Largest MOV | 30 pts vs #990 Caltech |
| 45 pts vs #137 San Francisco | Largest MOD | 29 pts vs #298 Redlands |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
UC Santa Cruz
Chapman
| 73.3 | Points per Game | 74.5 |
| 77.3 | Points Against | 71.4 |
| 75.3 | Home PPG | 75.9 |
| 82.5 | Home PA | 68.9 |
| 71.2 | Away PPG | 73 |
| 76.5 | Away PA | 74 |
| 357-245 | Opponent Record | 393-314 |
| 512.7 | Avg Opponent Rank | 633.6 |
| W 4 | Longest Streak | W 7 |
| L 3 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
UC Santa Cruz
Chapman
| Feb 27 | vs Chris Newport (25-6) | L74-77 | Mar 1 | at Redlands (24-6) | L64-93 |
| Feb 24 | vs Mary Washington (31-3) | L52-76 | Feb 27 | at Claremont M.S. (22-5) | W79-68 |
| Feb 1 | at Mary Washington (31-3) | L63-93 | Feb 21 | at Caltech (2-21) | W95-65 |
| Jan 30 | Regent (4-18) | W78-67 | Feb 18 | vs Occidental (17-9) | W86-79 |
| Jan 29 | at Chris Newport (25-6) | L64-71 | Feb 14 | vs La Verne (4-21) | W79-75 |
| Jan 10 | at Pomona-Pitzer (9-15) | W66-62 | Feb 7 | at Pomona-Pitzer (9-15) | W65-52 |
| Dec 28 | at Pac Lutheran (8-16) | W77-70 | Feb 4 | vs Whittier (11-12) | W68-62 |
| Dec 27 | at Puget Sound (16-10) | W62-58 | Jan 31 | vs Claremont M.S. (22-5) | W72-71 |
| Dec 21 | at USC (18-14) | L63-102 | Jan 28 | at Redlands (24-6) | L66-76 |
| Dec 17 | at Pomona-Pitzer (9-15) | W67-58 | Jan 24 | at La Verne (4-21) | W81-70 |