Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wayne St MI
Ashland
|
85
B
|
Overall |
92
A-
|
|
85
B
|
Power |
91
A-
|
|
85
B
6099
|
Offensive |
84
B
6099
|
|
Wayne St MI
6099
Ashland
6099
|
||
|
83
B-
6099
|
Defensive |
91
A-
6099
|
|
Wayne St MI
6099
Ashland
6099
|
||
|
98
A+
|
SoS (Current) |
96
A
|
|
98
A+
|
SoS (Future) |
96
A
|
Wayne St MI
Ashland
| 104 #454 overall |
Overall | 51 #311 overall |
| 104 #462 overall |
Power | 58 #405 overall |
| 109 #451 overall |
Offensive | 116 #466 overall |
| 121 #494 overall |
Defensive | 59 #378 overall |
| 9 #342 overall |
SoS (Current) | 21 #362 overall |
| 9 #342 overall |
SoS (Future) | 21 #362 overall |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Ashland 51%, Wayne St MI 49% at Wayne St MI.
Ashland's win probability against Wayne St MI has held at 51% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Ashland's win probability against Wayne St MI has held at 61% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Ashland's win probability against Wayne St MI has held at 70% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Wayne St MI | Neutral | At Ashland |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 33% | 42% | 52% |
| Wk 1 | 33% | 42% | 52% |
| Wk 2 | 21% | 29% | 37% |
| Wk 3 | 55% | 64% | 73% |
| Wk 4 | 61% | 70% | 78% |
| Wk 5 | 64% | 73% | 80% |
| Wk 6 | 63% | 71% | 79% |
| Wk 7 | 60% | 69% | 77% |
| Wk 13 | 48% | 58% | 67% |
| Wk 14 | 56% | 65% | 74% |
| Wk 15 | 52% | 62% | 70% |
| Wk 17 | 52% | 62% | 71% |
| Wk 18 | 50% | 60% | 69% |
| Wk 19 | 53% | 62% | 71% |
| Wk 20 | 51% | 60% | 69% |
| Wk 21 | 51% | 60% | 69% |
| Wk 22 | 51% | 61% | 70% |
| Wk 23 | 51% | 61% | 70% |
| Wk 24 | 51% | 61% | 70% |
Wayne St MI
Ashland
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
11-14 (44%) |
Overall |
18-11 (62.1%) |
|
7-6 (53.8%) |
Home |
10-3 (76.9%) |
|
4-8 (33.3%) |
Away |
6-5 (54.5%) |
|
1-6 (14.3%) |
Versus D2 Top 25 |
1-6 (14.3%) |
|
3-9 (25%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
7-9 (43.8%) |
|
8-5 (61.5%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
11-2 (84.6%) |
|
5-5 (50%) |
Last 10 Games |
5-5 (50%) |
Wayne St MI
Ashland
| #153 Grand Valley St | Best Win | #157 Indiana PA |
| #914 Lewis | Worst Loss | #542 Cedarville |
| 21 pts vs #628 Ferris St | Largest MOV | 20 pts vs #820 Salem WV |
| 21 pts vs #174 N Michigan | Largest MOD | 19 pts vs #333 Findlay |
Wayne St MI
Ashland
| 74.2 | Points per Game | 75.1 |
| 76.5 | Points Against | 73.4 |
| 76.2 | Home PPG | 78.2 |
| 75.6 | Home PA | 72.8 |
| 72.2 | Away PPG | 73.2 |
| 77.4 | Away PA | 73 |
| 385-337 | Opponent Record | 420-371 |
| 413.7 | Avg Opponent Rank | 430.5 |
| W 3 | Longest Streak | W 5 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 2 |
Wayne St MI
Ashland
| Mar 4 | at Grand Valley St (24-7) | L67-81 | Mar 14 | Grand Valley St (24-7) | L45-59 |
| Feb 28 | vs Saginaw Val (12-15) | W85-76 | Mar 6 | Lake Erie (22-9) | L88-89 |
| Feb 26 | vs Lake Superior (15-12) | L79-82 | Mar 3 | vs Northwood MI (14-13) | W67-52 |
| Feb 21 | at WI Parkside (12-16) | L66-77 | Feb 28 | at Findlay (18-12) | L61-80 |
| Feb 19 | at Roosevelt (4-23) | W92-85 | Feb 26 | vs Walsh (25-4) | L74-86 |
| Feb 14 | vs Michigan Tech (29-7) | L73-77 | Feb 19 | at Malone (10-14) | W68-61 |
| Feb 12 | vs N Michigan (26-7) | L62-82 | Feb 14 | vs Hillsdale (9-18) | W80-63 |
| Feb 7 | vs Grand Valley St (24-7) | W70-68 | Feb 12 | at Cedarville (10-15) | L62-74 |
| Feb 5 | vs Davenport (11-15) | W77-68 | Feb 7 | vs KY Wesleyan (13-13) | W73-67 |
| Jan 31 | at Ferris St (8-19) | W75-73 | Feb 5 | vs Thomas More (9-15) | W63-57 |
vs
Division II College Basketball