Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Saginaw Val
Ashland
|
83
B-
|
Overall |
92
A-
|
|
87
B+
|
Power |
91
A-
|
|
89
B+
6099
|
Offensive |
84
B
6099
|
|
Saginaw Val
6099
Ashland
6099
|
||
|
81
B-
6099
|
Defensive |
91
A-
6099
|
|
Saginaw Val
6099
Ashland
6099
|
||
|
95
A
|
SoS (Current) |
96
A
|
|
95
A
|
SoS (Future) |
96
A
|
Saginaw Val
Ashland
| 123 #501 overall |
Overall | 51 #311 overall |
| 92 #448 overall |
Power | 58 #405 overall |
| 80 #390 overall |
Offensive | 116 #466 overall |
| 138 #521 overall |
Defensive | 59 #378 overall |
| 33 #380 overall |
SoS (Current) | 21 #362 overall |
| 33 #380 overall |
SoS (Future) | 21 #362 overall |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Ashland 67%, Saginaw Val 33% at Ashland.
Ashland's win probability against Saginaw Val has held at 48% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Ashland's win probability against Saginaw Val has held at 58% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Ashland's win probability against Saginaw Val has held at 67% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Saginaw Val | Neutral | At Ashland |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 55% | 65% | 73% |
| Wk 1 | 55% | 65% | 73% |
| Wk 2 | 30% | 39% | 48% |
| Wk 3 | 59% | 68% | 76% |
| Wk 4 | 60% | 69% | 77% |
| Wk 5 | 35% | 44% | 54% |
| Wk 6 | 40% | 49% | 59% |
| Wk 7 | 36% | 46% | 55% |
| Wk 13 | 44% | 53% | 63% |
| Wk 14 | 50% | 60% | 69% |
| Wk 15 | 53% | 62% | 71% |
| Wk 17 | 55% | 64% | 72% |
| Wk 18 | 48% | 57% | 66% |
| Wk 19 | 50% | 59% | 68% |
| Wk 20 | 48% | 57% | 66% |
| Wk 21 | 48% | 57% | 67% |
| Wk 22 | 48% | 58% | 67% |
| Wk 23 | 48% | 58% | 67% |
| Wk 24 | 48% | 58% | 67% |
Saginaw Val
Ashland
|
1-0 (100%) |
Head to Head |
0-1 (0%) |
|
12-15 (44.4%) |
Overall |
18-11 (62.1%) |
|
7-6 (53.8%) |
Home |
10-3 (76.9%) |
|
5-9 (35.7%) |
Away |
6-5 (54.5%) |
|
2-5 (28.6%) |
Versus D2 Top 25 |
1-6 (14.3%) |
|
3-8 (27.3%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
7-9 (43.8%) |
|
9-7 (56.3%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
11-2 (84.6%) |
|
4-6 (40%) |
Last 10 Games |
5-5 (50%) |
Saginaw Val
Ashland
| #153 Grand Valley St | Best Win | #157 Indiana PA |
| #628 Ferris St | Worst Loss | #542 Cedarville |
| 32 pts vs #963 Alma | Largest MOV | 20 pts vs #820 Salem WV |
| 28 pts vs #52 Gannon | Largest MOD | 19 pts vs #333 Findlay |
Saginaw Val
Ashland
| 76.6 | Points per Game | 75.1 |
| 76.5 | Points Against | 73.4 |
| 79.4 | Home PPG | 78.2 |
| 75 | Home PA | 72.8 |
| 74.1 | Away PPG | 73.2 |
| 77.9 | Away PA | 73 |
| 398-376 | Opponent Record | 420-371 |
| 443.1 | Avg Opponent Rank | 430.5 |
| W 5 | Longest Streak | W 5 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | L 2 |
Saginaw Val
Ashland
| Feb 28 | at Wayne St MI (11-14) | L76-85 | Mar 14 | Grand Valley St (24-7) | L45-59 |
| Feb 26 | at Purdue Northwest (13-14) | L67-76 | Mar 6 | Lake Erie (22-9) | L88-89 |
| Feb 21 | vs Davenport (11-15) | W101-94 | Mar 3 | vs Northwood MI (14-13) | W67-52 |
| Feb 19 | vs Grand Valley St (24-7) | W92-65 | Feb 28 | at Findlay (18-12) | L61-80 |
| Feb 14 | vs Ferris St (8-19) | L69-75 | Feb 26 | vs Walsh (25-4) | L74-86 |
| Feb 12 | at Lake Superior (15-12) | L81-90 | Feb 19 | at Malone (10-14) | W68-61 |
| Feb 7 | at Michigan Tech (29-7) | L52-62 | Feb 14 | vs Hillsdale (9-18) | W80-63 |
| Feb 5 | at N Michigan (26-7) | L61-83 | Feb 12 | at Cedarville (10-15) | L62-74 |
| Jan 31 | vs Roosevelt (4-23) | W91-80 | Feb 7 | vs KY Wesleyan (13-13) | W73-67 |
| Jan 29 | vs WI Parkside (12-16) | W85-77 | Feb 5 | vs Thomas More (9-15) | W63-57 |
vs
Division II College Basketball