Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: William & Mary 84%, NC A&T 16% at William & Mary.
William & Mary's win probability against NC A&T has held at 70% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
William & Mary's win probability against NC A&T has held at 77% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
William & Mary's win probability against NC A&T has held at 84% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.