Nicholls St at Valparaiso Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Valparaiso by 9.44
TOTAL POINTS
144
UPDATED
Tuesday, April 7, 2026
RATINGS
Nicholls St
Valparaiso 
|
72
C-
|
Overall |
83
B-
|
|
72
C-
|
Power |
83
B-
|
|
74
C
|
Offensive |
74
C
|
|
73
C-
|
Defensive |
87
B+
|
|
76
C
|
SoS (Current) |
82
B-
|
|
76
C
|
SoS (Future) |
82
B-
|
RANKINGS
Nicholls St
Valparaiso
| 338 | Overall | 179 |
| 253 | Power | 158 |
| 283 | Offensive | 269 |
| 272 | Defensive | 114 |
| 216 | SoS (Current) | 158 |
| 216 | SoS (Future) | 158 |
Valparaiso#15477%Nicholls St#25123%Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Valparaiso 77%, Nicholls St 23% at Valparaiso.
Valparaiso's win probability against Nicholls St has held at 61% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Valparaiso's win probability against Nicholls St has held at 70% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Valparaiso's win probability against Nicholls St has held at 77% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Valparaiso favored
Nicholls St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Nicholls St | Neutral | At Valparaiso |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 32% | 41% | 50% |
| Wk 1 | 27% | 36% | 45% |
| Wk 2 | 39% | 49% | 58% |
| Wk 3 | 43% | 53% | 62% |
| Wk 4 | 52% | 62% | 71% |
| Wk 5 | 50% | 59% | 68% |
| Wk 6 | 53% | 62% | 71% |
| Wk 7 | 44% | 53% | 63% |
| Wk 13 | 60% | 69% | 77% |
| Wk 14 | 64% | 72% | 80% |
| Wk 15 | 62% | 70% | 78% |
| Wk 17 | 62% | 71% | 78% |
| Wk 18 | 62% | 71% | 78% |
| Wk 19 | 61% | 70% | 78% |
| Wk 20 | 61% | 70% | 78% |
| Wk 21 | 61% | 69% | 77% |
| Wk 22 | 61% | 70% | 78% |
| Wk 23 | 61% | 70% | 77% |
| Wk 24 | 61% | 70% | 77% |
RECORDS
Nicholls St
Valparaiso
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
13-19 (40.6%) |
Overall |
17-15 (53.1%) |
|
5-6 (45.5%) |
Home |
12-4 (75%) |
|
7-12 (36.8%) |
Away |
4-10 (28.6%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus D1 Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
2-13 (13.3%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
6-11 (35.3%) |
|
11-6 (64.7%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
11-4 (73.3%) |
|
4-6 (40%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Nicholls St
Valparaiso
| #207 UTRGV | Best Win | #102 Northern Iowa |
| #519 SE Louisiana | Worst Loss | #687 Southern Indiana |
| 22 pts vs #480 East Texas A&M | Largest MOV | 29 pts vs #419 W Michigan |
| 26 pts vs #68 McNeese St | Largest MOD | 48 pts vs #32 Kentucky |
OTHER STATISTICS
Nicholls St
Valparaiso
| 71 | Points per Game | 71.2 |
| 75.7 | Points Against | 71.9 |
| 72 | Home PPG | 70.8 |
| 74.5 | Home PA | 65.6 |
| 71.1 | Away PPG | 71.3 |
| 77.3 | Away PA | 78.5 |
| 481-525 | Opponent Record | 519-534 |
| 296.7 | Avg Opponent Rank | 247.2 |
| L 7 | Longest Streak | L 6 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Nicholls St
Valparaiso
| Mar 9 | UTRGV (17-14) | L68-86 | Mar 6 | Bradley (21-13) | L84-90 |
| Mar 8 | Northwestern LA (8-22) | W61-47 | Mar 5 | Indiana St (11-21) | W63-62 |
| Mar 2 | vs McNeese St (26-6) | L65-75 | Feb 28 | at Evansville (5-25) | L79-80 |
| Feb 28 | vs SE Louisiana (8-22) | W68-60 | Feb 25 | vs Drake (14-20) | W74-71 |
| Feb 23 | at Lamar (10-19) | W53-52 | Feb 21 | at IL Chicago (18-16) | W71-67 |
| Feb 21 | at SF Austin (28-6) | L78-81 | Feb 18 | vs Bradley (21-13) | W79-72 |
| Feb 16 | at Houston Chr (11-20) | L68-72 | Feb 15 | vs Indiana St (11-21) | W76-75 |
| Feb 14 | at Incarnate Word (10-19) | W91-83 | Feb 12 | at Illinois St (23-13) | L64-86 |
| Feb 9 | vs UTRGV (17-14) | L72-92 | Feb 9 | at Drake (14-20) | W81-76 |
| Feb 7 | vs TAM C. Christi (16-15) | L76-83 | Feb 6 | vs Evansville (5-25) | W70-63 |
