Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Valparaiso 61%, Indiana St 39% at a neutral site.
Valparaiso's win probability against Indiana St is trending down — from 55% to 52% over the last 6 weeks.
Valparaiso's win probability against Indiana St is trending down — from 65% to 61% over the last 6 weeks.
Valparaiso's win probability against Indiana St is trending down — from 73% to 70% over the last 6 weeks.