Evansville at Valparaiso Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Valparaiso by 11.81
TOTAL POINTS
140
UPDATED
Tuesday, April 7, 2026
RATINGS
Evansville
Valparaiso 
|
67
D+
|
Overall |
83
B-
|
|
69
D+
|
Power |
83
B-
|
|
68
D+
|
Offensive |
74
C
|
|
74
C
|
Defensive |
87
B+
|
|
90
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
82
B-
|
|
90
A-
|
SoS (Future) |
82
B-
|
RANKINGS
Evansville
Valparaiso
| 436 | Overall | 179 |
| 292 | Power | 158 |
| 364 | Offensive | 269 |
| 256 | Defensive | 114 |
| 86 | SoS (Current) | 158 |
| 86 | SoS (Future) | 158 |
Valparaiso#15483%Evansville#29817%Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Valparaiso 83%, Evansville 17% at Valparaiso.
Valparaiso's win probability against Evansville has held at 68% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Valparaiso's win probability against Evansville has held at 76% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Valparaiso's win probability against Evansville has held at 83% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Valparaiso favored
Evansville favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Evansville | Neutral | At Valparaiso |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 38% | 48% | 57% |
| Wk 1 | 34% | 43% | 53% |
| Wk 2 | 30% | 39% | 49% |
| Wk 3 | 28% | 36% | 46% |
| Wk 4 | 49% | 58% | 67% |
| Wk 5 | 48% | 58% | 67% |
| Wk 6 | 53% | 62% | 71% |
| Wk 7 | 46% | 56% | 65% |
| Wk 13 | 65% | 74% | 81% |
| Wk 14 | 66% | 74% | 81% |
| Wk 15 | 67% | 75% | 82% |
| Wk 17 | 65% | 73% | 80% |
| Wk 18 | 69% | 77% | 83% |
| Wk 19 | 68% | 76% | 82% |
| Wk 20 | 68% | 76% | 82% |
| Wk 21 | 68% | 76% | 82% |
| Wk 22 | 68% | 76% | 82% |
| Wk 23 | 68% | 76% | 83% |
| Wk 24 | 68% | 76% | 83% |
RECORDS
Evansville
Valparaiso
|
1-1 (50%) |
Head to Head |
1-1 (50%) |
|
5-25 (16.7%) |
Overall |
17-15 (53.1%) |
|
3-10 (23.1%) |
Home |
12-4 (75%) |
|
1-12 (7.7%) |
Away |
4-10 (28.6%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus D1 Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
3-21 (12.5%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
6-11 (35.3%) |
|
2-4 (33.3%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
11-4 (73.3%) |
|
2-8 (20%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Evansville
Valparaiso
| #103 Illinois St | Best Win | #102 Northern Iowa |
| #379 Indiana St | Worst Loss | #687 Southern Indiana |
| 12 pts vs #418 Ball St | Largest MOV | 29 pts vs #419 W Michigan |
| 38 pts vs #168 IL Chicago | Largest MOD | 48 pts vs #32 Kentucky |
OTHER STATISTICS
Evansville
Valparaiso
| 65.8 | Points per Game | 71.2 |
| 78.3 | Points Against | 71.9 |
| 69.7 | Home PPG | 70.8 |
| 77.3 | Home PA | 65.6 |
| 63 | Away PPG | 71.3 |
| 79.5 | Away PA | 78.5 |
| 567-427 | Opponent Record | 519-534 |
| 165.8 | Avg Opponent Rank | 247.2 |
| L 8 | Longest Streak | L 6 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Evansville
Valparaiso
| Mar 5 | Northern Iowa (23-13) | L59-68 | Mar 6 | Bradley (21-13) | L84-90 |
| Mar 1 | vs S Illinois (16-16) | L67-81 | Mar 5 | Indiana St (11-21) | W63-62 |
| Feb 28 | vs Valparaiso (17-15) | W80-79 | Feb 28 | at Evansville (5-25) | L79-80 |
| Feb 25 | at Belmont (25-6) | L64-98 | Feb 25 | vs Drake (14-20) | W74-71 |
| Feb 21 | at Murray St (20-13) | L75-88 | Feb 21 | at IL Chicago (18-16) | W71-67 |
| Feb 18 | vs IL Chicago (18-16) | L46-84 | Feb 18 | vs Bradley (21-13) | W79-72 |
| Feb 12 | at S Illinois (16-16) | L60-86 | Feb 15 | vs Indiana St (11-21) | W76-75 |
| Feb 9 | vs Illinois St (23-13) | W88-80 | Feb 12 | at Illinois St (23-13) | L64-86 |
| Feb 6 | at Valparaiso (17-15) | L63-70 | Feb 9 | at Drake (14-20) | W81-76 |
| Feb 3 | vs Indiana St (11-21) | L63-84 | Feb 6 | vs Evansville (5-25) | W70-63 |
