Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Valparaiso 89%, E Illinois 11% at Valparaiso.
Valparaiso's win probability against E Illinois has held at 78% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Valparaiso's win probability against E Illinois has held at 85% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Valparaiso's win probability against E Illinois has held at 89% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.