Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Citadel 53%, VMI 47% at VMI.
Citadel's win probability against VMI is trending up — from 50% to 53% over the last 6 weeks.
Citadel's win probability against VMI has held at 62% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Citadel's win probability against VMI has held at 71% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.