Vermont at UMBC Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
UMBC by 6.58
TOTAL POINTS
143
UPDATED
Tuesday, April 7, 2026
RATINGS
Vermont
UMBC 
|
74
C
|
Overall |
78
C+
|
|
72
C-
|
Power |
77
C+
|
|
70
C-
|
Offensive |
74
C
|
|
77
C+
|
Defensive |
80
B-
|
|
61
D-
|
SoS (Current) |
60
D-
|
|
61
D-
|
SoS (Future) |
60
D-
|
RANKINGS
Vermont
UMBC
| 291 | Overall | 240 |
| 261 | Power | 207 |
| 340 | Offensive | 278 |
| 217 | Defensive | 184 |
| 416 | SoS (Current) | 478 |
| 416 | SoS (Future) | 478 |
UMBC#19870%Vermont#23230%Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: UMBC 70%, Vermont 30% at UMBC.
UMBC's win probability against Vermont is trending up — from 45% to 52% over the last 6 weeks.
UMBC's win probability against Vermont is trending up — from 55% to 61% over the last 6 weeks.
UMBC's win probability against Vermont is trending up — from 64% to 70% over the last 6 weeks.
UMBC favored
Vermont favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Vermont | Neutral | At UMBC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 37% | 46% | 56% |
| Wk 1 | 60% | 69% | 77% |
| Wk 2 | 33% | 42% | 52% |
| Wk 3 | 23% | 31% | 40% |
| Wk 4 | 25% | 33% | 42% |
| Wk 5 | 34% | 43% | 53% |
| Wk 6 | 28% | 37% | 46% |
| Wk 7 | 26% | 34% | 43% |
| Wk 13 | 36% | 45% | 55% |
| Wk 14 | 38% | 47% | 57% |
| Wk 15 | 37% | 47% | 56% |
| Wk 17 | 39% | 48% | 58% |
| Wk 18 | 45% | 55% | 64% |
| Wk 19 | 48% | 57% | 66% |
| Wk 20 | 52% | 61% | 70% |
| Wk 21 | 51% | 61% | 69% |
| Wk 22 | 51% | 60% | 69% |
| Wk 23 | 52% | 61% | 70% |
| Wk 24 | 52% | 61% | 70% |
RECORDS
Vermont
UMBC
|
1-2 (33.3%) |
Head to Head |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
22-12 (64.7%) |
Overall |
23-9 (71.9%) |
|
13-3 (81.3%) |
Home |
14-2 (87.5%) |
|
8-7 (53.3%) |
Away |
9-6 (60%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus D1 Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
4-8 (33.3%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
3-6 (33.3%) |
|
18-4 (81.8%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
20-3 (87%) |
|
8-2 (80%) |
Last 10 Games |
9-1 (90%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Vermont
UMBC
| #152 Merrimack | Best Win | #291 Vermont |
| #695 Maine | Worst Loss | #672 Bryant |
| 51 pts vs #954 Plattsburgh St | Largest MOV | 50 pts vs #774 Notre Dame MD |
| 22 pts vs #135 Oregon St | Largest MOD | 37 pts vs #139 G Washington |
OTHER STATISTICS
Vermont
UMBC
| 73.4 | Points per Game | 76.5 |
| 68.5 | Points Against | 68 |
| 75.1 | Home PPG | 77 |
| 64 | Home PA | 64.5 |
| 71.8 | Away PPG | 75.5 |
| 71.5 | Away PA | 70.6 |
| 475-583 | Opponent Record | 435-584 |
| 463.5 | Avg Opponent Rank | 498.6 |
| W 5 | Longest Streak | W 12 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Vermont
UMBC
| Mar 14 | at UMBC (23-9) | L59-74 | Mar 17 | Howard (24-11) | L83-86 |
| Mar 10 | vs NJIT (16-17) | W63-54 | Mar 14 | vs Vermont (22-12) | W74-59 |
| Mar 7 | vs Bryant (9-22) | W77-57 | Mar 10 | vs MA Lowell (14-18) | W91-69 |
| Mar 3 | vs SUNY Albany (10-21) | W69-56 | Mar 7 | vs New Hampshire (9-21) | W84-69 |
| Feb 26 | vs MA Lowell (14-18) | W66-64 | Mar 3 | at NJIT (16-17) | W91-52 |
| Feb 21 | at NJIT (16-17) | W70-64 | Feb 28 | at MA Lowell (14-18) | W84-60 |
| Feb 19 | at UMBC (23-9) | L62-75 | Feb 26 | vs Bryant (9-22) | W70-58 |
| Feb 14 | vs Bryant (9-22) | W90-63 | Feb 21 | vs SUNY Albany (10-21) | W66-62 |
| Feb 12 | at Binghamton (8-23) | W73-65 | Feb 19 | vs Vermont (22-12) | W75-62 |
| Feb 7 | vs New Hampshire (9-21) | W80-57 | Feb 14 | at New Hampshire (9-21) | W85-63 |
