Notre Dame MD at UMBC Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
UMBC by 45.29
TOTAL POINTS
164
UPDATED
Tuesday, April 7, 2026
RATINGS
*Ratings are relative to Division (D1, D2, D3)
Notre Dame MD
UMBC 
|
82
B-
|
Overall |
78
C+
|
|
77
C+
|
Power |
77
C+
|
|
94
A
|
Offensive |
74
C
|
|
65
D
|
Defensive |
80
B-
|
|
77
C+
|
SoS (Current) |
60
D-
|
|
77
C+
|
SoS (Future) |
60
D-
|
RANKINGS
Notre Dame MDD3
UMBCD1
| 178 #774 overall |
Overall | 198 #240 overall |
| 226 #888 overall |
Power | 204 #207 overall |
| 51 #619 overall |
Offensive | 236 #278 overall |
| 355 #1017 overall |
Defensive | 176 #184 overall |
| 231 #893 overall |
SoS (Current) | 364 #478 overall |
| 231 #893 overall |
SoS (Future) | 364 #478 overall |
UMBCD1 #19899%Notre Dame MDD3 #1781%Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: UMBC 99%, Notre Dame MD 1% at UMBC.
UMBC's win probability against Notre Dame MD has held at 99% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
UMBC's win probability against Notre Dame MD has held at 99% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
UMBC's win probability against Notre Dame MD has held at 99% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
UMBC favored
Notre Dame MD favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Notre Dame MD | Neutral | At UMBC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 1 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 2 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 3 | 98% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 4 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 5 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 6 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 7 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 13 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 14 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 15 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 17 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 18 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 19 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 20 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 21 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 22 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 23 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 24 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
RECORDS
Notre Dame MD
UMBC
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
16-11 (59.3%) |
Overall |
23-9 (71.9%) |
|
6-1 (85.7%) |
Home |
14-2 (87.5%) |
|
7-8 (46.7%) |
Away |
9-6 (60%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus Own Division Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
4-9 (30.8%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
3-6 (33.3%) |
|
12-2 (85.7%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
20-3 (87%) |
|
6-4 (60%) |
Last 10 Games |
9-1 (90%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Notre Dame MD
UMBC
| #446 Gettysburg | Best Win | #291 Vermont |
| #1038 Keystone | Worst Loss | #672 Bryant |
| 28 pts vs #1052 Rosemont | Largest MOV | 50 pts vs #774 Notre Dame MD |
| 50 pts vs #240 UMBC | Largest MOD | 37 pts vs #139 G Washington |
OTHER STATISTICS
Notre Dame MD
UMBC
| 82.6 | Points per Game | 76.5 |
| 84.9 | Points Against | 68 |
| 85.6 | Home PPG | 77 |
| 75.9 | Home PA | 64.5 |
| 81.5 | Away PPG | 75.5 |
| 89.5 | Away PA | 70.6 |
| 333-381 | Opponent Record | 435-584 |
| 779 | Avg Opponent Rank | 498.6 |
| W 4 | Longest Streak | W 12 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Notre Dame MD
UMBC
| Feb 21 | at PSU-Harrisburg (18-11) | L70-85 | Mar 17 | Howard (24-11) | L83-86 |
| Feb 10 | at Lancaster Bib (20-8) | L93-99 | Mar 14 | vs Vermont (22-12) | W74-59 |
| Feb 7 | vs PSU-Berks (6-17) | W95-69 | Mar 10 | vs MA Lowell (14-18) | W91-69 |
| Feb 4 | vs St Mary's MD (10-16) | W76-75 | Mar 7 | vs New Hampshire (9-21) | W84-69 |
| Jan 31 | at PSU-Abington (6-22) | W83-75 | Mar 3 | at NJIT (16-17) | W91-52 |
| Jan 28 | vs Cairn (19-7) | W86-76 | Feb 28 | at MA Lowell (14-18) | W84-60 |
| Jan 24 | at Keystone (7-18) | L86-98 | Feb 26 | vs Bryant (9-22) | W70-58 |
| Jan 21 | vs Wilson (10-18) | W99-97 | Feb 21 | vs SUNY Albany (10-21) | W66-62 |
| Jan 17 | vs PSU-Brandywine (16-9) | W86-74 | Feb 19 | vs Vermont (22-12) | W75-62 |
| Jan 13 | vs PSU-Harrisburg (18-11) | L65-70 | Feb 14 | at New Hampshire (9-21) | W85-63 |