Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: UMBC 94%, Binghamton 6% at UMBC.
UMBC's win probability against Binghamton is trending up — from 84% to 87% over the last 6 weeks.
UMBC's win probability against Binghamton is trending up — from 89% to 92% over the last 6 weeks.
UMBC's win probability against Binghamton has held at 94% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.