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College Basketball Game Simulator
Simulate Any Matchup
Prediction updated: Tuesday, April 7, 2026
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CREATE YOUR MATCHUP
TR
Troy
Home · Sun Belt · 21-12
Tap to change
VS
TO
Toledo
Away · MAC · 18-15
Tap to change
Advanced Options
Use neutral location
Randomize
Variance
0
Low (0)
Moderate
High (2)
Run Simulation
Select Team
TO
Toledo
Rockets
MAC
76
47
% win prob
Away
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
TR
Troy
Trojans
Sun Belt
78
53
% win prob
Home
POINT SPREAD
Troy by 1.13
TOTAL POINTS
154
UPDATED
Tuesday, April 7, 2026
RATINGS
Toledo
Troy
76
Toledo
Simulated Score
78
Troy
84
B-
Overall
86
B
84
B
Power
82
B-
87
B+
43.341
60
99
Offensive
81
B-
39.692
60
99
Toledo
60
99
Troy
60
99
76
C
-36.367
60
99
Defensive
81
B-
-34.587
60
99
Toledo
60
99
Troy
60
99
82
B-
SoS (Current)
79
C+
82
B-
SoS (Future)
79
C+
RANKINGS
Toledo
Troy
167
Overall
140
141
Power
163
116
Offensive
195
229
Defensive
175
162
SoS (Current)
188
162
SoS (Future)
188
RECORDS
Toledo
Troy
1-0
(100%)
Head to Head
0-1
(0%)
18-15
(54.5%)
Overall
21-12
(63.6%)
10-4
(71.4%)
Home
9-3
(75%)
5-9
(35.7%)
Away
9-7
(56.3%)
0-1
(0%)
Versus D1 Top 25
0-1
(0%)
7-14
(33.3%)
Versus > .500 Teams
13-10
(56.5%)
11-1
(91.7%)
Versus < .500 Teams
8-2
(80%)
7-3
(70%)
Last 10 Games
6-4
(60%)
SUPERLATIVES
Toledo
Troy
#140 Troy
Best Win
#43 San Diego St
#244 Bowling Green
Worst Loss
#358 West Georgia
44 pts vs #877 Central St OH
Largest MOV
54 pts vs #894 LaGrange
23 pts vs #10 Michigan St
Largest MOD
29 pts vs #15 Nebraska
OTHER STATISTICS
Toledo
Troy
80.4
Points per Game
78
76.8
Points Against
73.7
84.1
Home PPG
79.5
75.1
Home PA
66.9
78.5
Away PPG
79.8
79.1
Away PA
80.2
579-461
Opponent Record
548-511
253.8
Avg Opponent Rank
276.7
W 4
Longest Streak
W 5
L 1
Current Streak
L 1
RECENT OPPONENTS
Toledo
Troy
Mar 14
Akron (28-6)
L 76-79
Mar 19
(15)
Nebraska (28-7)
L 47-76
Mar 13
Massachusetts (17-16)
W 77-67
Mar 9
Ga Southern (20-16)
W 77-61
Mar 12
Bowling Green (16-14)
W 77-76
Mar 8
Southern Miss (17-16)
W 78-70
Mar 6
vs
Buffalo (17-15)
W 98-78
Feb 27
vs
ULM (2-28)
W 80-65
Mar 3
at
Miami OH (29-2)
L 72-74
Feb 24
vs
Louisiana (11-22)
W 78-59
Feb 28
at
Ohio (14-17)
W 79-67
Feb 21
at
South Alabama (20-12)
L 54-65
Feb 24
vs
N Illinois (8-21)
W 79-69
Feb 18
at
ULM (2-28)
W 77-76
Feb 21
vs
E Michigan (9-21)
W 94-75
Feb 14
at
Southern Miss (17-16)
L 65-69
Feb 14
at
Bowling Green (16-14)
L 70-80
Feb 11
at
Texas St (18-13)
L 62-74
Feb 11
at
W Michigan (9-21)
W 90-79
Feb 7
vs
Akron (28-6)
W 79-69
✕
vs
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