UT Dallas at Tarleton St Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Tarleton St by 25.81
TOTAL POINTS
152
UPDATED
Tuesday, October 27, 2026
See this week's CBB D1 predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
*Ratings are relative to Division (D1, D2, D3)
UT Dallas
Tarleton St 
|
69
D+
|
Overall |
74
C
|
|
72
C-
|
Power |
76
C
|
|
78
C+
|
Offensive |
76
C
|
|
72
C-
|
Defensive |
75
C
|
|
90
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
67
D+
|
|
90
A-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
67
D+
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
UT DallasD2
Tarleton StD1
| 224 #725 overall |
Overall | 235 #267 overall |
| 205 #576 overall |
Power | 214 #216 overall |
| 160 #537 overall |
Offensive | 215 #228 overall |
| 205 #606 overall |
Defensive | 223 #226 overall |
| 71 #436 overall |
SoS (Current) | 301 #301 overall |
| 71 #436 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 301 #301 overall |
Tarleton StD1 #23597%UT DallasD2 #2243%Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Tarleton St 97%, UT Dallas 3% at Tarleton St.
Tarleton St's win probability against UT Dallas has held at 93% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Tarleton St's win probability against UT Dallas has held at 95% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Tarleton St's win probability against UT Dallas has held at 97% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Tarleton St favored
UT Dallas favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At UT Dallas | Neutral | At Tarleton St |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 93% | 95% | 97% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 93% | 95% | 97% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 93% | 95% | 97% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 93% | 95% | 97% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 93% | 95% | 97% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 93% | 95% | 97% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 93% | 95% | 97% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 93% | 95% | 97% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 93% | 95% | 97% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
UT Dallas
Tarleton St
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
7-20 (25.9%) |
Overall |
14-18 (43.8%) |
|
4-9 (30.8%) |
Home |
10-6 (62.5%) |
|
3-11 (21.4%) |
Away |
4-11 (26.7%) |
|
0-4 (0%) |
Versus Own Division Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
1-12 (7.7%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
5-12 (29.4%) |
|
6-8 (42.9%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
9-6 (60%) |
|
3-7 (30%) |
Last 10 Games |
3-7 (30%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
UT Dallas
Tarleton St
| #493 Angelo St | Best Win | #78 Cal Baptist |
| #933 Regis CO | Worst Loss | #388 Southern Utah |
| 38 pts vs #568 TX A&M K'ville | Largest MOV | 65 pts vs #829 Howard Payne |
| 29 pts vs #604 Colorado Mines | Largest MOD | 36 pts vs #99 LSU |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
UT Dallas
Tarleton St
| 74.7 | Points per Game | 74.5 |
| 79.8 | Points Against | 73.4 |
| 75.7 | Home PPG | 76.9 |
| 77.9 | Home PA | 68.8 |
| 73.7 | Away PPG | 71.8 |
| 81.6 | Away PA | 77.6 |
| 402-384 | Opponent Record | 488-511 |
| 503.6 | Avg Opponent Rank | 276.3 |
| L 9 | Longest Streak | L 7 |
| W 1 | Current Streak | L 5 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
UT Dallas
Tarleton St
| Feb 28 | at Oklahoma Chr (9-15) | W84-82 | Mar 11 | Abilene Chr (12-19) | L78-84 |
| Feb 26 | at Cameron (7-22) | L79-88 | Mar 5 | vs UT Arlington (16-14) | L60-65 |
| Feb 24 | vs Sul Ross (5-21) | W82-67 | Feb 28 | at Cal Baptist (26-9) | L67-82 |
| Feb 21 | vs Dallas Bap (29-7) | L79-88 | Feb 26 | at Utah Valley (23-10) | L72-79 |
| Feb 19 | vs UT Tyler (12-11) | L50-71 | Feb 21 | vs Utah Tech (16-15) | L72-80 |
| Feb 14 | at E New Mexico (25-6) | L87-97 | Feb 19 | vs Southern Utah (7-22) | W78-74 |
| Feb 12 | at W Texas A&M (19-11) | L63-75 | Feb 16 | vs Abilene Chr (12-19) | W65-62 |
| Feb 7 | vs Midwest TX St (7-20) | W75-74 | Feb 14 | at Abilene Chr (12-19) | L59-73 |
| Feb 5 | vs Lubbock Chr (27-6) | L60-86 | Feb 7 | at Southern Utah (7-22) | W62-59 |
| Jan 31 | at St Mary's TX (22-10) | L63-81 | Feb 5 | at Cal Baptist (26-9) | L55-56 |