Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: St John's 77%, Auburn 23% at St John's.
St John's' win probability against Auburn is trending up — from 57% to 60% over the last 6 weeks.
St John's' win probability against Auburn has swung between 65% and 70% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 69% now.
St John's' win probability against Auburn has held at 77% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.