Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: SMU 90%, Murray St 10% at SMU.
SMU's win probability against Murray St has held at 79% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
SMU's win probability against Murray St has held at 85% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
SMU's win probability against Murray St has held at 90% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.