Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Santa Clara 89%, Portland 11% at Portland.
Santa Clara's win probability against Portland has held at 89% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Santa Clara's win probability against Portland has held at 93% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Santa Clara's win probability against Portland has held at 95% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.