Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Pepperdine 52%, New Orleans 48% at Pepperdine.
Pepperdine's win probability against New Orleans has held at 34% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Pepperdine's win probability against New Orleans has held at 43% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Pepperdine's win probability against New Orleans has held at 52% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.