Valparaiso at Northwestern Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Northwestern by 15.63
TOTAL POINTS
139
UPDATED
Tuesday, April 7, 2026
RATINGS
Valparaiso
Northwestern 
|
83
B-
|
Overall |
91
A-
|
|
83
B-
|
Power |
93
A-
|
|
74
C
|
Offensive |
89
B+
|
|
87
B+
|
Defensive |
96
A
|
|
82
B-
|
SoS (Current) |
96
A
|
|
82
B-
|
SoS (Future) |
96
A
|
RANKINGS
Valparaiso
Northwestern
| 179 | Overall | 83 |
| 158 | Power | 58 |
| 269 | Offensive | 104 |
| 114 | Defensive | 31 |
| 158 | SoS (Current) | 27 |
| 158 | SoS (Future) | 27 |
Northwestern#8089%Valparaiso#15411%Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Northwestern 89%, Valparaiso 11% at Northwestern.
Northwestern's win probability against Valparaiso is trending up — from 75% to 78% over the last 6 weeks.
Northwestern's win probability against Valparaiso has held at 84% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Northwestern's win probability against Valparaiso has held at 89% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Northwestern favored
Valparaiso favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Valparaiso | Neutral | At Northwestern |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 94% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 1 | 96% | 98% | 98% |
| Wk 2 | 96% | 98% | 98% |
| Wk 3 | 94% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 4 | 90% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 5 | 86% | 90% | 93% |
| Wk 6 | 85% | 90% | 93% |
| Wk 7 | 85% | 90% | 93% |
| Wk 13 | 75% | 82% | 87% |
| Wk 14 | 75% | 82% | 87% |
| Wk 15 | 72% | 79% | 85% |
| Wk 17 | 75% | 82% | 87% |
| Wk 18 | 75% | 82% | 87% |
| Wk 19 | 76% | 83% | 88% |
| Wk 20 | 77% | 84% | 89% |
| Wk 21 | 78% | 84% | 89% |
| Wk 22 | 78% | 84% | 89% |
| Wk 23 | 78% | 84% | 89% |
| Wk 24 | 78% | 84% | 89% |
RECORDS
Valparaiso
Northwestern
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
17-15 (53.1%) |
Overall |
15-19 (44.1%) |
|
12-4 (75%) |
Home |
9-7 (56.3%) |
|
4-10 (28.6%) |
Away |
3-8 (27.3%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus D1 Top 25 |
0-11 (0%) |
|
6-11 (35.3%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
7-15 (31.8%) |
|
11-4 (73.3%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
8-4 (66.7%) |
|
7-3 (70%) |
Last 10 Games |
5-5 (50%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Valparaiso
Northwestern
| #102 Northern Iowa | Best Win | #57 Indiana |
| #687 Southern Indiana | Worst Loss | #115 Rutgers |
| 29 pts vs #419 W Michigan | Largest MOV | 47 pts vs #487 Cleveland St |
| 48 pts vs #32 Kentucky | Largest MOD | 40 pts vs #9 Illinois |
OTHER STATISTICS
Valparaiso
Northwestern
| 71.2 | Points per Game | 73.1 |
| 71.9 | Points Against | 72 |
| 70.8 | Home PPG | 77.4 |
| 65.6 | Home PA | 69.6 |
| 71.3 | Away PPG | 66.7 |
| 78.5 | Away PA | 74.5 |
| 519-534 | Opponent Record | 684-483 |
| 247.2 | Avg Opponent Rank | 110.9 |
| L 6 | Longest Streak | L 5 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Valparaiso
Northwestern
| Mar 6 | Bradley (21-13) | L84-90 | Mar 12 | #5 Purdue (30-9) | L68-81 |
| Mar 5 | Indiana St (11-21) | W63-62 | Mar 11 | Indiana (18-14) | W74-61 |
| Feb 28 | at Evansville (5-25) | L79-80 | Mar 10 | Penn St (12-20) | W76-66 |
| Feb 25 | vs Drake (14-20) | W74-71 | Mar 7 | at Minnesota (15-18) | L66-67 |
| Feb 21 | at IL Chicago (18-16) | W71-67 | Mar 4 | vs #5 Purdue (30-9) | L66-70 |
| Feb 18 | vs Bradley (21-13) | W79-72 | Feb 28 | vs Oregon (12-20) | W63-62 |
| Feb 15 | vs Indiana St (11-21) | W76-75 | Feb 24 | at Indiana (18-14) | W72-68 |
| Feb 12 | at Illinois St (23-13) | L64-86 | Feb 18 | vs Maryland (13-22) | W78-74 |
| Feb 9 | at Drake (14-20) | W81-76 | Feb 14 | at #15 Nebraska (28-7) | L49-68 |
| Feb 6 | vs Evansville (5-25) | W70-63 | Feb 11 | vs #1 Michigan (37-3) | L75-87 |
