Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: New Orleans 68%, Nicholls St 32% at New Orleans.
New Orleans' win probability against Nicholls St has held at 50% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
New Orleans' win probability against Nicholls St has held at 59% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
New Orleans' win probability against Nicholls St has held at 68% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.