Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: New Orleans 67%, Incarnate Word 33% at New Orleans.
New Orleans' win probability against Incarnate Word is trending down — from 51% to 48% over the last 6 weeks.
New Orleans' win probability against Incarnate Word has held at 58% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
New Orleans' win probability against Incarnate Word has held at 67% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.