Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: UNC Wilmington 75%, NC A&T 25% at NC A&T.
UNC Wilmington's win probability against NC A&T has held at 75% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
UNC Wilmington's win probability against NC A&T has held at 82% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
UNC Wilmington's win probability against NC A&T has held at 88% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.