Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Mt St Mary's 82%, Rider 18% at Mt St Mary's.
Mt St Mary's' win probability against Rider is trending up — from 64% to 67% over the last 6 weeks.
Mt St Mary's' win probability against Rider is trending up — from 73% to 76% over the last 6 weeks.
Mt St Mary's' win probability against Rider has held at 82% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.