SUNY Fredonia at Mercyhurst Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Mercyhurst by 56.8
TOTAL POINTS
145
UPDATED
Tuesday, October 27, 2026
See this week's CBB D1 predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
*Ratings are relative to Division (D1, D2, D3)
SUNY Fredonia
Mercyhurst 
|
60
D-
|
Overall |
67
D+
|
|
61
D-
|
Power |
68
D+
|
|
64
D
|
Offensive |
64
D
|
|
62
D-
|
Defensive |
80
B-
|
|
63
D-
|
SoS (Current) |
61
D-
|
|
63
D-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
61
D-
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
SUNY FredoniaD3
MercyhurstD1
| 401 #1063 overall |
Overall | 297 #371 overall |
| 393 #1055 overall |
Power | 292 #295 overall |
| 368 #1029 overall |
Offensive | 329 #413 overall |
| 384 #1046 overall |
Defensive | 179 #180 overall |
| 370 #1032 overall |
SoS (Current) | 352 #352 overall |
| 370 #1032 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 352 #352 overall |
MercyhurstD1 #29799%SUNY FredoniaD3 #4011%Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Mercyhurst 99%, SUNY Fredonia 1% at Mercyhurst.
Mercyhurst's win probability against SUNY Fredonia has held at 99% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Mercyhurst's win probability against SUNY Fredonia has held at 99% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Mercyhurst's win probability against SUNY Fredonia has held at 99% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Mercyhurst favored
SUNY Fredonia favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At SUNY Fredonia | Neutral | At Mercyhurst |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
SUNY Fredonia
Mercyhurst
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
3-22 (12%) |
Overall |
16-17 (48.5%) |
|
2-10 (16.7%) |
Home |
11-3 (78.6%) |
|
1-10 (9.1%) |
Away |
5-14 (26.3%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus Own Division Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
0-10 (0%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
2-7 (22.2%) |
|
3-12 (20%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
14-10 (58.3%) |
|
1-9 (10%) |
Last 10 Games |
5-5 (50%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
SUNY Fredonia
Mercyhurst
| None | Best Win | #197 LIU Brooklyn |
| #1047 Merchant Marine | Worst Loss | #666 Chicago St |
| 4 pts vs #1068 SUNY Potsdam | Largest MOV | 29 pts vs #909 Bethany WV |
| 39 pts vs #696 Oswego St | Largest MOD | 33 pts vs #121 Davidson |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
SUNY Fredonia
Mercyhurst
| 69.2 | Points per Game | 68.6 |
| 83.6 | Points Against | 68.1 |
| 73.6 | Home PPG | 75.1 |
| 82 | Home PA | 65.6 |
| 66.1 | Away PPG | 63.8 |
| 85.3 | Away PA | 70 |
| 303-357 | Opponent Record | 457-584 |
| 921.2 | Avg Opponent Rank | 452.4 |
| L 7 | Longest Streak | L 4 |
| L 4 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
SUNY Fredonia
Mercyhurst
| Feb 21 | at SUNY Canton (7-19) | L87-109 | Mar 10 | at LIU Brooklyn (24-11) | L70-79 |
| Feb 20 | at Oswego St (23-5) | L60-99 | Mar 7 | vs Stonehill (12-21) | W56-51 |
| Feb 17 | vs Cortland St (24-5) | L66-89 | Mar 4 | vs F Dickinson (10-21) | W70-61 |
| Feb 14 | vs Plattsburgh St (13-14) | L89-91 | Feb 28 | at Stonehill (12-21) | W75-72 |
| Feb 13 | vs SUNY Potsdam (1-24) | W79-78 | Feb 26 | at Central Conn (18-12) | L78-80 |
| Feb 7 | at SUNY New Paltz (13-13) | L69-94 | Feb 21 | vs LIU Brooklyn (24-11) | W91-83 |
| Feb 6 | at SUNY Oneonta (17-11) | L41-69 | Feb 19 | vs Wagner (12-17) | L80-83 |
| Jan 30 | at Buffalo St (9-16) | L50-51 | Feb 14 | at St Francis PA (6-24) | W94-79 |
| Jan 27 | vs Morrisville St (9-17) | L75-83 | Feb 12 | at Le Moyne (15-17) | L57-58 |
| Jan 24 | vs Oswego St (23-5) | L66-77 | Feb 7 | at F Dickinson (10-21) | L52-55 |