Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Boston Univ 55%, Lafayette 45% at Lafayette.
Boston Univ's win probability against Lafayette has held at 55% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Boston Univ's win probability against Lafayette has held at 64% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Boston Univ's win probability against Lafayette has held at 72% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.