Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Ball St 54%, Lafayette 46% at Lafayette.
Ball St's win probability against Lafayette is trending up — from 51% to 54% over the last 6 weeks.
Ball St's win probability against Lafayette has held at 63% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Ball St's win probability against Lafayette is trending up — from 69% to 72% over the last 6 weeks.