Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Towson 52%, James Madison 48% at James Madison.
Towson's win probability against James Madison has held at 52% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Towson's win probability against James Madison is trending up — from 59% to 62% over the last 6 weeks.
Towson's win probability against James Madison is trending up — from 68% to 71% over the last 6 weeks.