Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: James Madison 55%, Appalachian St 45% at James Madison.
James Madison's win probability against Appalachian St has held at 36% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
James Madison's win probability against Appalachian St has held at 45% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
James Madison's win probability against Appalachian St has held at 55% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.