Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Indiana St 74%, Ball St 26% at Indiana St.
Indiana St's win probability against Ball St has held at 56% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Indiana St's win probability against Ball St has held at 66% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Indiana St's win probability against Ball St has held at 74% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.