TX Lutheran at Incarnate Word Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Incarnate Word by 42.44
TOTAL POINTS
156
UPDATED
Tuesday, April 7, 2026
RATINGS
*Ratings are relative to Division (D1, D2, D3)
TX Lutheran
Incarnate Word 
|
78
C+
|
Overall |
66
D
|
|
78
C+
|
Power |
73
C-
|
|
84
B
|
Offensive |
74
C
|
|
73
C-
|
Defensive |
73
C-
|
|
87
B+
|
SoS (Current) |
70
C-
|
|
87
B+
|
SoS (Future) |
70
C-
|
RANKINGS
TX LutheranD3
Incarnate WordD1
| 223 #851 overall |
Overall | 305 #451 overall |
| 225 #887 overall |
Power | 244 #248 overall |
| 156 #799 overall |
Offensive | 233 #273 overall |
| 273 #930 overall |
Defensive | 243 #268 overall |
| 123 #757 overall |
SoS (Current) | 271 #271 overall |
| 123 #757 overall |
SoS (Future) | 271 #271 overall |
Incarnate WordD1 #30599%TX LutheranD3 #2231%Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Incarnate Word 99%, TX Lutheran 1% at Incarnate Word.
Incarnate Word's win probability against TX Lutheran has held at 99% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Incarnate Word's win probability against TX Lutheran has held at 99% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Incarnate Word's win probability against TX Lutheran has held at 99% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Incarnate Word favored
TX Lutheran favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At TX Lutheran | Neutral | At Incarnate Word |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 1 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 2 | 98% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 3 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 4 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 5 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 6 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 7 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 13 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 14 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 15 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 17 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 18 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 19 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 20 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 21 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 22 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 23 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 24 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
RECORDS
TX Lutheran
Incarnate Word
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
10-17 (37%) |
Overall |
10-19 (34.5%) |
|
7-6 (53.8%) |
Home |
7-6 (53.8%) |
|
2-11 (15.4%) |
Away |
2-12 (14.3%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Versus Own Division Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
4-8 (33.3%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
2-10 (16.7%) |
|
6-9 (40%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
8-9 (47.1%) |
|
2-8 (20%) |
Last 10 Games |
3-7 (30%) |
SUPERLATIVES
TX Lutheran
Incarnate Word
| #551 Hardin-Simmons | Best Win | #68 McNeese St |
| #897 Austin Col | Worst Loss | #519 SE Louisiana |
| 22 pts vs #1053 Hendrix | Largest MOV | 62 pts vs #851 TX Lutheran |
| 62 pts vs #451 Incarnate Word | Largest MOD | 34 pts vs #79 Colorado St |
OTHER STATISTICS
TX Lutheran
Incarnate Word
| 76.7 | Points per Game | 72 |
| 83.2 | Points Against | 74.3 |
| 81.2 | Home PPG | 78.1 |
| 78.6 | Home PA | 73.7 |
| 71.8 | Away PPG | 64.8 |
| 88.5 | Away PA | 73.2 |
| 362-363 | Opponent Record | 438-470 |
| 692.2 | Avg Opponent Rank | 331.9 |
| L 6 | Longest Streak | L 4 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
TX Lutheran
Incarnate Word
| Feb 22 | at McMurry (8-17) | L85-101 | Mar 2 | vs SF Austin (28-6) | L68-76 |
| Feb 20 | at Schreiner (11-15) | W86-81 | Feb 28 | vs Lamar (10-19) | W72-60 |
| Feb 15 | at Colorado Col (12-16) | L56-75 | Feb 23 | at Northwestern LA (8-22) | L49-54 |
| Feb 13 | at St Thomas TX (28-3) | L63-77 | Feb 21 | at East Texas A&M (9-21) | W82-73 |
| Feb 8 | vs Dallas Univ (10-17) | W63-61 | Feb 16 | vs New Orleans (15-18) | L64-78 |
| Feb 7 | vs Austin Col (10-16) | L71-80 | Feb 14 | vs Nicholls St (13-19) | L83-91 |
| Feb 3 | at Centenary (11-16) | L64-67 | Feb 9 | at SE Louisiana (8-22) | L62-74 |
| Jan 31 | vs Colorado Col (12-16) | L84-92 | Feb 7 | at McNeese St (26-6) | L64-81 |
| Jan 30 | vs St Thomas TX (28-3) | L69-71 | Feb 2 | at TAM C. Christi (16-15) | W71-69 |
| Jan 23 | at Le Tourneau (17-10) | L67-95 | Jan 31 | vs UTRGV (17-14) | L93-106 |