Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Incarnate Word 61%, Nicholls St 39% at Incarnate Word.
Incarnate Word's win probability against Nicholls St has held at 42% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Incarnate Word's win probability against Nicholls St has held at 51% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Incarnate Word's win probability against Nicholls St has held at 61% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.