Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Incarnate Word 52%, New Orleans 48% at Incarnate Word.
Incarnate Word's win probability against New Orleans has held at 33% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Incarnate Word's win probability against New Orleans has held at 42% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Incarnate Word's win probability against New Orleans is trending up — from 49% to 52% over the last 6 weeks.