Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Murray St 77%, Evansville 23% at Evansville.
Murray St's win probability against Evansville is trending down — from 80% to 77% over the last 6 weeks.
Murray St's win probability against Evansville is trending down — from 86% to 83% over the last 6 weeks.
Murray St's win probability against Evansville has held at 88% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.