Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Indiana St 57%, Evansville 43% at Evansville.
Indiana St's win probability against Evansville has held at 57% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Indiana St's win probability against Evansville has held at 66% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Indiana St's win probability against Evansville is trending up — from 72% to 75% over the last 6 weeks.