Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Nicholls St 51%, East Texas A&M 49% at East Texas A&M.
Nicholls St's win probability against East Texas A&M has held at 51% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Nicholls St's win probability against East Texas A&M has held at 61% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Nicholls St's win probability against East Texas A&M has held at 70% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.