Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Incarnate Word 53%, East Texas A&M 47% at East Texas A&M.
Incarnate Word's win probability against East Texas A&M has held at 53% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Incarnate Word's win probability against East Texas A&M has held at 62% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Incarnate Word's win probability against East Texas A&M has held at 71% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.