College Basketball Game Simulator Simulate Any Matchup
Prediction updated: Tuesday, April 7, 2026
UMBC
Retrievers
America East
62
18% win prob
Away
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
Dayton
Flyers
A-10
78
82% win prob
Home
POINT SPREAD
Dayton by 15.58
TOTAL POINTS
140
UPDATED
Tuesday, April 7, 2026
RATINGS
UMBC
Dayton
|
78
C+
|
Overall |
93
A-
|
|
77
C+
|
Power |
90
A-
|
|
74
C-
|
Offensive |
84
B-
|
|
80
B-
|
Defensive |
95
A
|
|
60
D-
|
SoS (Current) |
90
B+
|
|
60
D-
|
SoS (Future) |
90
B+
|
RANKINGS
UMBC
Dayton
| 240 | Overall | 59 |
| 207 | Power | 83 |
| 278 | Offensive | 156 |
| 184 | Defensive | 38 |
| 478 | SoS (Current) | 87 |
| 478 | SoS (Future) | 87 |
RECORDS
UMBC
Dayton
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
23-9 (71.9%) |
Overall |
25-12 (67.6%) |
|
14-2 (87.5%) |
Home |
14-4 (77.8%) |
|
9-6 (60%) |
Away |
8-5 (61.5%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus D1 Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
3-6 (33.3%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
17-11 (60.7%) |
|
20-3 (87%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
8-1 (88.9%) |
|
9-1 (90%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
SUPERLATIVES
UMBC
Dayton
| #291 Vermont | Best Win | #37 St Louis |
| #672 Bryant | Worst Loss | #309 La Salle |
| 50 pts vs #774 Notre Dame MD | Largest MOV | 40 pts vs #549 Canisius |
| 37 pts vs #139 G Washington | Largest MOD | 31 pts vs #37 St Louis |
OTHER STATISTICS
UMBC
Dayton
| 76.5 | Points per Game | 74.1 |
| 68 | Points Against | 69.3 |
| 77 | Home PPG | 76.1 |
| 64.5 | Home PA | 64.8 |
| 75.5 | Away PPG | 72.1 |
| 70.6 | Away PA | 72.8 |
| 435-584 | Opponent Record | 718-519 |
| 498.6 | Avg Opponent Rank | 166.6 |
| W 12 | Longest Streak | W 6 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
UMBC
Dayton
| Mar 17 Howard (24-11) L 83-86 | Mar 25 vs Illinois St (23-13) L 55-61 |
| Mar 14 vs Vermont (22-12) W 74-59 | Mar 21 at UNC Wilmington (26-7) W 80-61 |
| Mar 10 vs MA Lowell (14-18) W 91-69 | Mar 18 at Bradley (21-13) W 80-66 |
| Mar 7 vs New Hampshire (9-21) W 84-69 | Mar 15 VCU (28-8) L 62-70 |
| Mar 3 at NJIT (16-17) W 91-52 | Mar 14 St Louis (29-6) W 70-69 |
| Feb 28 at MA Lowell (14-18) W 84-60 | Mar 13 St Bonaventure (17-17) W 68-63 |
| Feb 26 vs Bryant (9-22) W 70-58 | Mar 6 vs VCU (28-8) L 62-68 |
| Feb 21 vs SUNY Albany (10-21) W 66-62 | Mar 3 at Richmond (15-17) W 65-60 |
| Feb 19 vs Vermont (22-12) W 75-62 | Feb 27 at G Washington (19-16) W 68-66 |
| Feb 14 at New Hampshire (9-21) W 85-63 | Feb 24 vs St Louis (29-6) W 77-62 |
