Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Columbia 58%, Dartmouth 42% at Dartmouth.
Columbia's win probability against Dartmouth has held at 58% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Columbia's win probability against Dartmouth has held at 67% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Columbia's win probability against Dartmouth has held at 75% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.