Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: UMBC 92%, Coppin St 8% at Coppin St.
UMBC's win probability against Coppin St has held at 92% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
UMBC's win probability against Coppin St has held at 94% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
UMBC's win probability against Coppin St has held at 96% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.