Samford at Citadel Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Samford by 8.73
TOTAL POINTS
149
UPDATED
Tuesday, April 7, 2026
RATINGS
Citadel
Samford 
|
64
D
|
Overall |
76
C
|
|
63
D-
|
Power |
76
C
|
|
64
D
|
Offensive |
80
B-
|
|
65
D
|
Defensive |
73
C-
|
|
65
D
|
SoS (Current) |
71
C-
|
|
65
D
|
SoS (Future) |
71
C-
|
RANKINGS
Citadel
Samford
| 533 | Overall | 260 |
| 394 | Power | 216 |
| 444 | Offensive | 204 |
| 388 | Defensive | 266 |
| 315 | SoS (Current) | 267 |
| 315 | SoS (Future) | 267 |
Samford#21576%Citadel#32924%Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Samford 76%, Citadel 24% at Citadel.
Samford's win probability against Citadel has held at 76% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Samford's win probability against Citadel has held at 82% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Samford's win probability against Citadel has held at 88% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Samford favored
Citadel favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Citadel | Neutral | At Samford |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 75% | 82% | 87% |
| Wk 1 | 62% | 70% | 78% |
| Wk 2 | 74% | 81% | 87% |
| Wk 3 | 60% | 69% | 77% |
| Wk 4 | 72% | 80% | 86% |
| Wk 5 | 76% | 83% | 88% |
| Wk 6 | 73% | 80% | 86% |
| Wk 7 | 70% | 78% | 84% |
| Wk 13 | 71% | 78% | 85% |
| Wk 14 | 70% | 78% | 84% |
| Wk 15 | 74% | 81% | 87% |
| Wk 17 | 78% | 85% | 89% |
| Wk 18 | 78% | 84% | 89% |
| Wk 19 | 75% | 82% | 88% |
| Wk 20 | 76% | 82% | 88% |
| Wk 21 | 76% | 82% | 88% |
| Wk 22 | 76% | 82% | 88% |
| Wk 23 | 76% | 82% | 88% |
| Wk 24 | 76% | 82% | 88% |
RECORDS
Citadel
Samford
|
0-2 (0%) |
Head to Head |
2-0 (100%) |
|
11-22 (33.3%) |
Overall |
16-14 (53.3%) |
|
7-8 (46.7%) |
Home |
9-3 (75%) |
|
3-12 (20%) |
Away |
6-9 (40%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus D1 Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
3-11 (21.4%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
5-10 (33.3%) |
|
8-11 (42.1%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
11-4 (73.3%) |
|
3-7 (30%) |
Last 10 Games |
8-2 (80%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Citadel
Samford
| #206 Furman | Best Win | #160 Cent Arkansas |
| #463 Chattanooga | Worst Loss | #463 Chattanooga |
| 44 pts vs #1050 Erskine | Largest MOV | 20 pts vs #256 Mercer |
| 38 pts vs #295 W Carolina | Largest MOD | 44 pts vs #97 Utah Valley |
OTHER STATISTICS
Citadel
Samford
| 70.4 | Points per Game | 77.8 |
| 77.5 | Points Against | 77 |
| 75 | Home PPG | 79.4 |
| 74.2 | Home PA | 72.1 |
| 66.1 | Away PPG | 78.5 |
| 80.5 | Away PA | 80.4 |
| 473-548 | Opponent Record | 466-480 |
| 371.3 | Avg Opponent Rank | 324.2 |
| L 6 | Longest Streak | W 6 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Citadel
Samford
| Mar 7 | ETSU (23-11) | L76-83 | Mar 7 | Furman (19-13) | L81-86 |
| Mar 6 | Chattanooga (10-19) | W88-85 | Feb 28 | vs UNC Greensboro (14-19) | W87-78 |
| Feb 28 | at Wofford (18-13) | W93-90 | Feb 26 | vs VMI (4-26) | W80-61 |
| Feb 25 | at Furman (19-13) | L51-72 | Feb 21 | at Mercer (18-13) | L86-89 |
| Feb 21 | vs Chattanooga (10-19) | L72-93 | Feb 19 | at Citadel (11-22) | W78-75 |
| Feb 19 | vs Samford (16-14) | L75-78 | Feb 14 | at ETSU (23-11) | W82-72 |
| Feb 14 | vs Mercer (18-13) | L54-70 | Feb 11 | vs Wofford (18-13) | W97-80 |
| Feb 11 | at W Carolina (13-16) | L49-87 | Feb 7 | vs Mercer (18-13) | W69-49 |
| Feb 7 | at Chattanooga (10-19) | W78-71 | Feb 5 | vs Citadel (11-22) | W78-64 |
| Feb 5 | at Samford (16-14) | L64-78 | Feb 1 | at W Carolina (13-16) | W88-74 |
