Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
S Wesleyan
Citadel
|
67
D+
|
Overall |
64
D
|
|
63
D-
|
Power |
63
D-
|
|
90
A-
6099
|
Offensive |
64
D
6099
|
|
S Wesleyan
6099
Citadel
6099
|
||
|
60
D-
6099
|
Defensive |
65
D
6099
|
|
S Wesleyan
6099
Citadel
6099
|
||
|
64
D
|
SoS (Current) |
65
D
|
|
64
D
|
SoS (Future) |
65
D
|
S WesleyanD2
CitadelD1
| 240 #794 overall |
Overall | 329 #533 overall |
| 273 #723 overall |
Power | 341 #394 overall |
| 67 #366 overall |
Offensive | 324 #444 overall |
| 295 #982 overall |
Defensive | 320 #388 overall |
| 264 #738 overall |
SoS (Current) | 314 #315 overall |
| 264 #738 overall |
SoS (Future) | 314 #315 overall |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Citadel 96%, S Wesleyan 4% at Citadel.
Citadel's win probability against S Wesleyan has held at 90% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Citadel's win probability against S Wesleyan has held at 94% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Citadel's win probability against S Wesleyan has held at 96% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At S Wesleyan | Neutral | At Citadel |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 97% | 98% | 99% |
| Wk 1 | 97% | 98% | 98% |
| Wk 2 | 85% | 90% | 93% |
| Wk 3 | 84% | 89% | 93% |
| Wk 4 | 73% | 80% | 86% |
| Wk 5 | 79% | 85% | 90% |
| Wk 6 | 91% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 7 | 94% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 13 | 93% | 95% | 97% |
| Wk 14 | 94% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 15 | 92% | 95% | 97% |
| Wk 17 | 91% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 18 | 91% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 19 | 91% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 20 | 91% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 21 | 91% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 22 | 90% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 23 | 90% | 93% | 96% |
| Wk 24 | 90% | 94% | 96% |
S Wesleyan
Citadel
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
12-18 (40%) |
Overall |
11-22 (33.3%) |
|
8-3 (72.7%) |
Home |
7-8 (46.7%) |
|
3-14 (17.6%) |
Away |
3-12 (20%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus Own Division Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
3-11 (21.4%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
3-11 (21.4%) |
|
9-7 (56.3%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
8-11 (42.1%) |
|
7-3 (70%) |
Last 10 Games |
3-7 (30%) |
S Wesleyan
Citadel
| #432 Georgia C&S | Best Win | #206 Furman |
| #905 Shorter | Worst Loss | #463 Chattanooga |
| 11 pts vs #1050 Erskine | Largest MOV | 44 pts vs #1050 Erskine |
| 55 pts vs #150 Kennesaw | Largest MOD | 38 pts vs #295 W Carolina |
S Wesleyan
Citadel
| 83.7 | Points per Game | 70.4 |
| 90.2 | Points Against | 77.5 |
| 85.9 | Home PPG | 75 |
| 84.2 | Home PA | 74.2 |
| 81.8 | Away PPG | 66.1 |
| 94.3 | Away PA | 80.5 |
| 400-479 | Opponent Record | 473-548 |
| 677.9 | Avg Opponent Rank | 371.3 |
| L 10 | Longest Streak | L 6 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
S Wesleyan
Citadel
| Mar 2 | at Chowan (18-14) | L95-104 | Mar 7 | ETSU (23-11) | L76-83 |
| Mar 1 | Francis Marion (7-22) | W96-93 | Mar 6 | Chattanooga (10-19) | W88-85 |
| Feb 25 | at Emmanuel GA (18-13) | L88-90 | Feb 28 | at Wofford (18-13) | W93-90 |
| Feb 23 | at Francis Marion (7-22) | W106-102 | Feb 25 | at Furman (19-13) | L51-72 |
| Feb 21 | vs Belmont Abbey (6-19) | W79-69 | Feb 21 | vs Chattanooga (10-19) | L72-93 |
| Feb 18 | at King (12-17) | W95-87 | Feb 19 | vs Samford (16-14) | L75-78 |
| Feb 14 | at NC Pembroke (21-9) | L110-113 | Feb 14 | vs Mercer (18-13) | L54-70 |
| Feb 10 | vs Erskine (0-28) | W78-67 | Feb 11 | at W Carolina (13-16) | L49-87 |
| Feb 7 | vs Chowan (18-14) | W117-108 | Feb 7 | at Chattanooga (10-19) | W78-71 |
| Feb 4 | vs Barton (14-16) | W79-76 | Feb 5 | at Samford (16-14) | L64-78 |
College Basketball