Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Cal Poly 81%, CS Bakersfield 19% at Cal Poly.
Cal Poly's win probability against CS Bakersfield is trending up — from 63% to 66% over the last 6 weeks.
Cal Poly's win probability against CS Bakersfield has held at 74% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Cal Poly's win probability against CS Bakersfield has held at 81% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.