Tarleton St at Baylor Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Baylor by 22.5
TOTAL POINTS
156
UPDATED
Tuesday, April 7, 2026
RATINGS
Tarleton St
Baylor 
|
74
C
|
Overall |
92
A-
|
|
76
C
|
Power |
94
A
|
|
76
C
|
Offensive |
96
A
|
|
75
C
|
Defensive |
90
A-
|
|
79
C+
|
SoS (Current) |
97
A+
|
|
79
C+
|
SoS (Future) |
97
A+
|
RANKINGS
Tarleton St
Baylor
| 299 | Overall | 69 |
| 217 | Power | 46 |
| 247 | Offensive | 28 |
| 237 | Defensive | 86 |
| 186 | SoS (Current) | 22 |
| 186 | SoS (Future) | 22 |
Baylor#6896%Tarleton St#2354%Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Baylor 96%, Tarleton St 4% at Baylor.
Baylor's win probability against Tarleton St has held at 90% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Baylor's win probability against Tarleton St has held at 94% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Baylor's win probability against Tarleton St has held at 96% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Baylor favored
Tarleton St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Tarleton St | Neutral | At Baylor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 98% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 1 | 97% | 98% | 98% |
| Wk 2 | 90% | 93% | 96% |
| Wk 3 | 83% | 88% | 92% |
| Wk 4 | 88% | 92% | 95% |
| Wk 5 | 83% | 88% | 92% |
| Wk 6 | 84% | 89% | 93% |
| Wk 7 | 88% | 92% | 95% |
| Wk 13 | 85% | 90% | 93% |
| Wk 14 | 86% | 91% | 94% |
| Wk 15 | 88% | 92% | 95% |
| Wk 17 | 90% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 18 | 90% | 93% | 95% |
| Wk 19 | 90% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 20 | 90% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 21 | 90% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 22 | 90% | 93% | 96% |
| Wk 23 | 90% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 24 | 90% | 94% | 96% |
RECORDS
Tarleton St
Baylor
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
14-18 (43.8%) |
Overall |
16-17 (48.5%) |
|
10-6 (62.5%) |
Home |
10-6 (62.5%) |
|
4-11 (26.7%) |
Away |
3-7 (30%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus D1 Top 25 |
0-8 (0%) |
|
5-12 (29.4%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
7-15 (31.8%) |
|
9-6 (60%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
9-2 (81.8%) |
|
3-7 (30%) |
Last 10 Games |
4-6 (40%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Tarleton St
Baylor
| #78 Cal Baptist | Best Win | #38 UCF |
| #388 Southern Utah | Worst Loss | #159 Memphis |
| 65 pts vs #829 Howard Payne | Largest MOV | 57 pts vs #510 Alcorn St |
| 36 pts vs #99 LSU | Largest MOD | 22 pts vs #6 Houston |
OTHER STATISTICS
Tarleton St
Baylor
| 74.5 | Points per Game | 80.4 |
| 73.4 | Points Against | 76.9 |
| 76.9 | Home PPG | 88.2 |
| 68.8 | Home PA | 77.6 |
| 71.8 | Away PPG | 70.4 |
| 77.6 | Away PA | 75.1 |
| 488-511 | Opponent Record | 658-464 |
| 276.3 | Avg Opponent Rank | 109.5 |
| L 7 | Longest Streak | W 4 |
| L 5 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Tarleton St
Baylor
| Mar 11 | Abilene Chr (12-19) | L78-84 | Apr 4 | Oklahoma (21-16) | L69-82 |
| Mar 5 | vs UT Arlington (16-14) | L60-65 | Apr 1 | Minnesota (15-18) | W67-48 |
| Feb 28 | at Cal Baptist (26-9) | L67-82 | Mar 10 | Arizona St (17-16) | L79-83 |
| Feb 26 | at Utah Valley (23-10) | L72-79 | Mar 7 | vs Utah (10-22) | W101-75 |
| Feb 21 | vs Utah Tech (16-15) | L72-80 | Mar 4 | at #6 Houston (30-7) | L64-77 |
| Feb 19 | vs Southern Utah (7-22) | W78-74 | Feb 28 | at UCF (21-12) | W87-86 |
| Feb 16 | vs Abilene Chr (12-19) | W65-62 | Feb 24 | vs #2 Arizona (36-3) | L80-87 |
| Feb 14 | at Abilene Chr (12-19) | L59-73 | Feb 21 | vs Arizona St (17-16) | W73-68 |
| Feb 7 | at Southern Utah (7-22) | W62-59 | Feb 17 | at Kansas St (12-20) | L74-90 |
| Feb 5 | at Cal Baptist (26-9) | L55-56 | Feb 14 | Louisville (24-11) | L71-82 |
