Ark Monticello at Alabama St Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Alabama St by 18.33
TOTAL POINTS
138
UPDATED
Tuesday, October 27, 2026
See this week's CBB D1 predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
*Ratings are relative to Division (D1, D2, D3)
Ark Monticello
Alabama St 
|
69
D+
|
Overall |
63
D-
|
|
71
C-
|
Power |
64
D
|
|
61
D-
|
Offensive |
67
D+
|
|
92
A-
|
Defensive |
65
D
|
|
82
B-
|
SoS (Current) |
71
C-
|
|
82
B-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
71
C-
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
Ark MonticelloD2
Alabama StD1
| 226 #733 overall |
Overall | 333 #447 overall |
| 214 #586 overall |
Power | 330 #338 overall |
| 284 #785 overall |
Offensive | 298 #350 overall |
| 51 #393 overall |
Defensive | 319 #347 overall |
| 127 #492 overall |
SoS (Current) | 267 #267 overall |
| 127 #492 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 267 #267 overall |
Alabama StD1 #33391%Ark MonticelloD2 #2269%Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Alabama St 91%, Ark Monticello 9% at Alabama St.
Alabama St's win probability against Ark Monticello has held at 82% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Alabama St's win probability against Ark Monticello has held at 87% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Alabama St's win probability against Ark Monticello has held at 91% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Alabama St favored
Ark Monticello favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Ark Monticello | Neutral | At Alabama St |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 81% | 86% | 90% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 82% | 87% | 91% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 81% | 87% | 91% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 80% | 85% | 90% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 79% | 85% | 90% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 79% | 84% | 89% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 78% | 84% | 89% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 78% | 84% | 89% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 82% | 87% | 91% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
Ark Monticello
Alabama St
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
8-18 (30.8%) |
Overall |
9-22 (29%) |
|
5-8 (38.5%) |
Home |
4-4 (50%) |
|
3-9 (25%) |
Away |
4-15 (21.1%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Versus Own Division Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
0-8 (0%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
2-10 (16.7%) |
|
8-10 (44.4%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
7-12 (36.8%) |
|
2-8 (20%) |
Last 10 Games |
3-7 (30%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
Ark Monticello
Alabama St
| #581 East Central OK | Best Win | #116 UAB |
| #769 Arkansas Tech | Worst Loss | #528 Air Force |
| 30 pts vs #1053 Hendrix | Largest MOV | 37 pts vs #780 MS Valley St |
| 24 pts vs #262 Harding | Largest MOD | 38 pts vs #107 Mississippi St |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
Ark Monticello
Alabama St
| 62.3 | Points per Game | 71.5 |
| 68.1 | Points Against | 77.6 |
| 61.3 | Home PPG | 72 |
| 65.3 | Home PA | 66 |
| 63.8 | Away PPG | 70.4 |
| 71 | Away PA | 82.3 |
| 365-381 | Opponent Record | 417-564 |
| 553.4 | Avg Opponent Rank | 336.3 |
| L 4 | Longest Streak | L 7 |
| L 3 | Current Streak | L 3 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Ark Monticello
Alabama St
| Feb 28 | vs Ouachita (20-7) | L58-75 | Mar 9 | Alcorn St (9-23) | L65-77 |
| Feb 26 | at Harding (22-8) | L64-85 | Mar 5 | vs Grambling (13-19) | L63-65 |
| Feb 21 | at NW Oklahoma St (10-18) | L57-74 | Mar 3 | vs Southern Univ (14-17) | L64-71 |
| Feb 19 | at SW Oklahoma (9-18) | W82-69 | Feb 28 | at Alabama A&M (15-15) | W89-88 |
| Feb 14 | vs Henderson St (10-18) | L48-62 | Feb 21 | at Florida A&M (14-16) | L63-76 |
| Feb 12 | at S Arkansas (11-18) | L65-80 | Feb 19 | at Bethune-Cookman (16-15) | L71-82 |
| Feb 9 | at Arkansas Tech (7-21) | L62-73 | Feb 16 | vs MS Valley St (3-30) | W92-55 |
| Feb 7 | vs East Central OK (13-14) | L56-75 | Feb 14 | vs Ark Pine Bluff (11-19) | W79-61 |
| Feb 5 | vs SE Oklahoma (9-20) | W70-62 | Feb 9 | at Southern Univ (14-17) | L68-69 |
| Jan 31 | at OK Baptist (31-4) | L60-70 | Feb 7 | at Grambling (13-19) | L47-57 |