Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
McMurry
Abilene Chr
|
76
C
|
Overall |
74
C
|
|
78
C+
|
Power |
72
C-
|
|
91
A-
6099
|
Offensive |
67
D+
6099
|
|
McMurry
6099
Abilene Chr
6099
|
||
|
68
D+
6099
|
Defensive |
81
B-
6099
|
|
McMurry
6099
Abilene Chr
6099
|
||
|
86
B
|
SoS (Current) |
83
B-
|
|
86
B
|
SoS (Future) |
83
B-
|
McMurryD3
Abilene ChrD1
| 239 #879 overall |
Overall | 239 #306 overall |
| 222 #884 overall |
Power | 254 #259 overall |
| 86 #689 overall |
Offensive | 299 #389 overall |
| 322 #984 overall |
Defensive | 165 #170 overall |
| 134 #772 overall |
SoS (Current) | 150 #150 overall |
| 134 #772 overall |
SoS (Future) | 150 #150 overall |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Abilene Chr 99%, McMurry 1% at Abilene Chr.
Abilene Chr's win probability against McMurry has held at 99% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Abilene Chr's win probability against McMurry has held at 99% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Abilene Chr's win probability against McMurry has held at 99% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At McMurry | Neutral | At Abilene Chr |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 1 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 2 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 3 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 4 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 5 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 6 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 7 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 13 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 14 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 15 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 17 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 18 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 19 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 20 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 21 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 22 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 23 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 24 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
McMurry
Abilene Chr
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
8-17 (32%) |
Overall |
12-19 (38.7%) |
|
5-7 (41.7%) |
Home |
7-5 (58.3%) |
|
3-10 (23.1%) |
Away |
3-12 (20%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Versus Own Division Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
1-8 (11.1%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
2-16 (11.1%) |
|
7-9 (43.8%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
10-3 (76.9%) |
|
4-6 (40%) |
Last 10 Games |
4-6 (40%) |
McMurry
Abilene Chr
| #829 Howard Payne | Best Win | #97 Utah Valley |
| #897 Austin Col | Worst Loss | #388 Southern Utah |
| 30 pts vs #1053 Hendrix | Largest MOV | 37 pts vs #879 McMurry |
| 37 pts vs #306 Abilene Chr | Largest MOD | 39 pts vs #78 Cal Baptist |
McMurry
Abilene Chr
| 80.7 | Points per Game | 68.7 |
| 86.2 | Points Against | 73.3 |
| 85.6 | Home PPG | 73.3 |
| 84.8 | Home PA | 70 |
| 76.2 | Away PPG | 64.9 |
| 87.6 | Away PA | 75.4 |
| 326-349 | Opponent Record | 516-459 |
| 703.6 | Avg Opponent Rank | 240 |
| L 7 | Longest Streak | L 7 |
| W 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
McMurry
Abilene Chr
| Feb 22 | vs TX Lutheran (10-17) | W101-85 | Mar 12 | Utah Tech (16-15) | L74-80 |
| Feb 20 | vs Concordia TX (20-5) | L91-102 | Mar 11 | Tarleton St (14-18) | W84-78 |
| Feb 14 | at Dallas Univ (10-17) | W110-92 | Mar 7 | vs UT Arlington (16-14) | L57-64 |
| Feb 13 | at Austin Col (10-16) | L61-78 | Mar 5 | at Cal Baptist (26-9) | L48-87 |
| Feb 8 | vs St Thomas TX (28-3) | L66-82 | Feb 28 | at Utah Valley (23-10) | L67-74 |
| Feb 6 | vs Colorado Col (12-16) | L69-72 | Feb 26 | at Utah Tech (16-15) | L81-85 |
| Feb 1 | vs Univ Ozarks (5-22) | W77-58 | Feb 21 | vs Southern Utah (7-22) | W87-83 |
| Jan 30 | vs Hendrix (1-24) | W95-65 | Feb 16 | at Tarleton St (14-18) | L62-65 |
| Jan 24 | at St Thomas TX (28-3) | L54-88 | Feb 14 | vs Tarleton St (14-18) | W73-59 |
| Jan 23 | at Colorado Col (12-16) | L67-80 | Feb 12 | vs UT Arlington (16-14) | W67-63 |
College Basketball