Quinnipiac projected to hold off a surging Yale by four points

Versus projects a tight one, Quinnipiac 68, Yale 64, giving the Bobcats a 60 percent chance of winning at home. The margin reflects two teams trending in opposite directions early this season.

Yale has won back to back games, including a 71-67 decision at Loyola MD and a 65-47 win over Rider, and has climbed 33 spots since the preseason to No. 245 in Division I. The catch is the schedule behind that 2-0 record, Yale ranks 360th of 363 teams in strength of schedule, among the softest slates tracked.

Quinnipiac enters 1-3 and has fallen 77 places since the preseason to No. 192. Over its last four games, including a 58-47 win over Boston Univ that snapped a four-game losing streak, the Bobcats have still been outscored by an average of 11 points. Quinnipiac still sits 53 spots ahead of Yale in the rankings and carries a C+ grade across the board, compared to Yale's C- overall mark.

Quinnipiac leads the series 3-1 in four meetings since 2022, and won the most recent meeting 69-46 in November 2025. This is not a conference game for either side.