Missouri KC vs New Mexico State Women's Basketball Prediction, Nov. 16, 2026 | Versus Sports Simulator
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Women's D1 · Conference USANon-conference

Missouri KC's offense meets its match in New Mexico State's defense

Missouri KC#255 D1 · 2-1Away69
Projected69-67Missouri KC 56% chance to win
8:00 PM ETESPN+
New Mexico St#238 D1 · 2-1Home67

The clearest contrast in this non-conference meeting is Missouri KC's No. 92 scoring offense running into New Mexico State's No. 142 scoring defense, a matchup that favors the Kangaroos on paper even if New Mexico State's defense carries the better letter grade at a B compared to Missouri KC's C-.

Both programs have climbed fast since the preseason. Missouri KC sat 313th in the division before the year and has jumped 58 spots to 255th, while New Mexico State has moved up 53 places to 238th. Versus still gives New Mexico State a 17-spot edge overall. Missouri KC arrives off a 90-61 win over SE Missouri State that was its most lopsided victory since November 2023, built on a B+ graded offense that leads the Kangaroos' identity this season. New Mexico State counters with momentum of its own, having won two straight, including a result over UTEP that snapped a drought dating to February 2025.

Versus projects a tight finish, with Missouri KC favored 69-67. With both defenses graded in the middle of the pack or better and both offenses inconsistent through three games, the margin looks like it will come down to which team's early-season surge is more sustainable.

Missouri KCNew Mexico St
Overall
72 C-
73 C-
Power
83 B-
79 C+
Offense
89 B+
74 C
Defense
73 C-
84 B

Graded within D1, 363 teams